National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office indicate a high near 49°F today at O'Hare International Airport under mostly sunny skies, fueling the tight trader consensus with 48-49°F (34%) edging 50-51°F (33%) on Polymarket. This positioning stems from a lingering cool continental air mass following recent frontal passage, moderated by light southwesterly winds and a building upper-level ridge promoting solar insolation for afternoon heating. Model ensembles show subtle divergence—GFS leaning toward 48°F with restrained boundary-layer mixing, while ECMWF hints at 50°F via stronger low-level warm advection—highlighting uncertainty in peak-hour temperatures amid variable cloudiness. Observations through late afternoon will clarify the outcome, as urban effects and exact wind shifts could tip the balance by 1-2°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?
48-49°F 44%
50-51°F 31%
46-47°F 14%
52-53°F 10.7%
$120,067 Объем
$120,067 Объем
Mar 28, 2026
43°F or below
<1%
44-45°F
5%
46-47°F
14%
48-49°F
38%
50-51°F
31%
52-53°F
11%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62°F or higher
<1%
48-49°F 44%
50-51°F 31%
46-47°F 14%
52-53°F 10.7%
$120,067 Объем
$120,067 Объем
Mar 28, 2026
43°F or below
$24,045 Объем
<1%
44-45°F
$7,351 Объем
5%
46-47°F
$6,264 Объем
14%
48-49°F
$5,869 Объем
38%
50-51°F
$5,922 Объем
31%
52-53°F
$7,438 Объем
11%
54-55°F
$10,920 Объем
2%
56-57°F
$9,540 Объем
1%
58-59°F
$12,241 Объем
1%
60-61°F
$6,210 Объем
1%
62°F or higher
$24,369 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office indicate a high near 49°F today at O'Hare International Airport under mostly sunny skies, fueling the tight trader consensus with 48-49°F (34%) edging 50-51°F (33%) on Polymarket. This positioning stems from a lingering cool continental air mass following recent frontal passage, moderated by light southwesterly winds and a building upper-level ridge promoting solar insolation for afternoon heating. Model ensembles show subtle divergence—GFS leaning toward 48°F with restrained boundary-layer mixing, while ECMWF hints at 50°F via stronger low-level warm advection—highlighting uncertainty in peak-hour temperatures amid variable cloudiness. Observations through late afternoon will clarify the outcome, as urban effects and exact wind shifts could tip the balance by 1-2°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$120,067Дата окончания
Mar 28, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office indicate a high near 49°F today at O'Hare International Airport under mostly sunny skies, fueling the tight trader consensus with 48-49°F (34%) edging 50-51°F (33%) on Polymarket. This positioning stems from a lingering cool continental air mass following recent frontal passage, moderated by light southwesterly winds and a building upper-level ridge promoting solar insolation for afternoon heating. Model ensembles show subtle divergence—GFS leaning toward 48°F with restrained boundary-layer mixing, while ECMWF hints at 50°F via stronger low-level warm advection—highlighting uncertainty in peak-hour temperatures amid variable cloudiness. Observations through late afternoon will clarify the outcome, as urban effects and exact wind shifts could tip the balance by 1-2°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$120,067Дата окончания
Mar 28, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office indicate a high near 49°F today at O'Hare International Airport under mostly sunny skies, fueling the tight trader consensus with 48-49°F (34%) edging 50-51°F (33%) on Polymarket. This positioning stems from a lingering cool continental air mass following recent frontal passage, moderated by light southwesterly winds and a building upper-level ridge promoting solar insolation for afternoon heating. Model ensembles show subtle divergence—GFS leaning toward 48°F with restrained boundary-layer mixing, while ECMWF hints at 50°F via stronger low-level warm advection—highlighting uncertainty in peak-hour temperatures amid variable cloudiness. Observations through late afternoon will clarify the outcome, as urban effects and exact wind shifts could tip the balance by 1-2°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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