Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the close split in latest forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), with implied peaks hovering near 23.5°C for Tel Aviv on March 28 due to a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean stabilizing mild conditions. Recent model runs updated within the last 24 hours show minimal spread—23°C edging via GFS depictions of thin high cloud cover slightly capping daytime heating, while ECMWF favors 24°C from stronger boundary layer mixing and warmer sea surface temperatures around 19°C offshore. Israel's Meteorological Service aligns with this range amid typical late-March climatology (historical highs averaging 21-22°C), though urban heat island effects and exact peak-hour insolation introduce the 1°C uncertainty differentiating outcomes. New observational data and evening forecast refreshes could refine trader positioning before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 28 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 28 марта?
23°C 32%
24°C 32%
25°C 19%
22°C 18%
17°C или ниже
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
14%
23°C
32%
24°C
32%
25°C
19%
26°C
7%
27°C или выше
1%
23°C 32%
24°C 32%
25°C 19%
22°C 18%
17°C или ниже
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
14%
23°C
32%
24°C
32%
25°C
19%
26°C
7%
27°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the close split in latest forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), with implied peaks hovering near 23.5°C for Tel Aviv on March 28 due to a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean stabilizing mild conditions. Recent model runs updated within the last 24 hours show minimal spread—23°C edging via GFS depictions of thin high cloud cover slightly capping daytime heating, while ECMWF favors 24°C from stronger boundary layer mixing and warmer sea surface temperatures around 19°C offshore. Israel's Meteorological Service aligns with this range amid typical late-March climatology (historical highs averaging 21-22°C), though urban heat island effects and exact peak-hour insolation introduce the 1°C uncertainty differentiating outcomes. New observational data and evening forecast refreshes could refine trader positioning before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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