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EleiçãO Federal previsões e probabilidades

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Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

30%

Rigetti

$83.0K Vol.

$39.2K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Another Canada election called by June 30?

1%

$80.5K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

40

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

77%

PL

$254K Vol.

$60.0K Liq.

9

Ends em 5 meses

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

5%

June 30, 2026

$760K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

15

Ends há 5 meses

Quebec General Election Winner

Quebec General Election Winner

58%

PQ

$505K Vol.

$75.4K Liq.

48

Ends em 5 meses

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

41%

Labour

$44 Vol.

$87 Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

45%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$78M Vol.

$719K today

$7M Liq.

7,103

Ends em 5 meses

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

91%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M Vol.

$95.0K Liq.

8

Ends em 4 meses

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

32%

Romeu Zema

$282K Vol.

$259K Liq.

46

Ends em 5 meses

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

62%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$4M Vol.

$402K Liq.

34

Ends em 5 meses

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

15%

$65.5K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

32

Ends em 5 meses

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

23%

Jordan Bardella

$73M Vol.

$673K today

$6M Liq.

510

Ends em 12 meses

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

83%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$321K Vol.

$106K Liq.

104

Ends em 5 meses

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

85%

Morena

$2.4K Vol.

$175K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 ano

IL-14 House Election Winner

IL-14 House Election Winner

91%

Democratic Party

$8.8K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

99%

FP

$97.1K Vol.

$41.3K Liq.

6

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

81%

PL

$14.1K Vol.

$33.3K Liq.

2

Ends em 5 meses

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

46%

Labour Party 5-10%

$4.9K Vol.

$51.0K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

11%

$15.5K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

OK-03 House Election Winner

OK-03 House Election Winner

94%

Republican Party

$84.1K Vol.

$39.3K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like EleiçãO Federal.

Polymarket currently hosts 480 active markets for EleiçãO Federal that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which companies will the US take a stake in?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $158.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Brazil Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Brazil Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 45% chance to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on EleiçãO Federal predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.