Trader consensus favors U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow at 65% to win Louisiana's Republican Senate primary on May 16, driven by a recent American Pulse poll (March 20-24) showing her at 31% ahead of State Treasurer John Fleming (25%) and incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy (21%), with strong head-to-head runoffs against both. President Trump's January endorsement and Gov. Jeff Landry's March backing have boosted Letlow's appeal among GOP base voters, offsetting Cassidy's incumbency advantage, NRSC ad support, and $11 million war chest amid lingering resentment over his 2021 Trump impeachment vote. Fleming holds second on name recognition but faces a fresh ethics complaint alleging state resource misuse, while attack ads target Letlow's past DEI comments; a June runoff looms if no candidate exceeds 50%.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoJulia Letlow 65%
John Fleming 17.5%
Bill Cassidy 12%
Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt <1%
$169,624 Vol.
$169,624 Vol.
Julia Letlow
65%
John Fleming
18%
Bill Cassidy
12%
Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt
<1%
Julie Emerson
<1%
Blake Miguez
<1%
Randall Arrington
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
<1%
Chris Holder
<1%
Xan John
<1%
Kathy Seiden
<1%
Tracy Dendy
<1%
Julia Letlow 65%
John Fleming 17.5%
Bill Cassidy 12%
Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt <1%
$169,624 Vol.
$169,624 Vol.
Julia Letlow
65%
John Fleming
18%
Bill Cassidy
12%
Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt
<1%
Julie Emerson
<1%
Blake Miguez
<1%
Randall Arrington
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
<1%
Chris Holder
<1%
Xan John
<1%
Kathy Seiden
<1%
Tracy Dendy
<1%
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow at 65% to win Louisiana's Republican Senate primary on May 16, driven by a recent American Pulse poll (March 20-24) showing her at 31% ahead of State Treasurer John Fleming (25%) and incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy (21%), with strong head-to-head runoffs against both. President Trump's January endorsement and Gov. Jeff Landry's March backing have boosted Letlow's appeal among GOP base voters, offsetting Cassidy's incumbency advantage, NRSC ad support, and $11 million war chest amid lingering resentment over his 2021 Trump impeachment vote. Fleming holds second on name recognition but faces a fresh ethics complaint alleging state resource misuse, while attack ads target Letlow's past DEI comments; a June runoff looms if no candidate exceeds 50%.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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