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Mundo·Eleições Mundiais

Vencedor das Eleições Gerais de Quebec

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Mundo·Eleições Mundiais

Vencedor das Eleições Gerais de Quebec

PQ 57%

PLQ 34%

CAQ 9%

PCQ <1%

Polymarket

$385,250 Vol.

PQ 57%

PLQ 34%

CAQ 9%

PCQ <1%

Polymarket

$385,250 Vol.

Market icon

PQ

$37,082 Vol.

57%

Market icon

PLQ

$39,772 Vol.

34%

Market icon

CAQ

$37,265 Vol.

9%

Market icon

PCQ

$121,752 Vol.

1%

Market icon

QS

$46,161 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

PVQ

$103,223 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 57.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5 general election, despite a recent Léger poll tying PQ and Liberals (PLQ) at 33% popular vote amid the rise of Conservatives (PCQ) at 15% and Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) at 9%. Projections like 338Canada's forecast PQ securing 63 seats to PLQ's 47, leveraging stronger vote efficiency in francophone ridings outside Montreal. PQ's edge stems from former Premier François Legault's January resignation amid 26% approval, PLQ's February leadership switch to Charles Milliard fueling a Liberal surge, and CAQ's April 12 leadership vote favoring Christine Fréchette over Bernard Drainville. Legault's recent farewell speech decrying French decline in Montreal reinforces identity issues bolstering PQ positioning.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$385,250
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 57.5% to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5 general election, despite a recent Léger poll tying PQ and Liberals (PLQ) at 33% popular vote amid the rise of Conservatives (PCQ) at 15% and Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) at 9%. Projections like 338Canada's forecast PQ securing 63 seats to PLQ's 47, leveraging stronger vote efficiency in francophone ridings outside Montreal. PQ's edge stems from former Premier François Legault's January resignation amid 26% approval, PLQ's February leadership switch to Charles Milliard fueling a Liberal surge, and CAQ's April 12 leadership vote favoring Christine Fréchette over Bernard Drainville. Legault's recent farewell speech decrying French decline in Montreal reinforces identity issues bolstering PQ positioning.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$385,250
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das Eleições Gerais de Quebec" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "PQ" at 57%, followed by "PLQ" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das Eleições Gerais de Quebec" has generated $385.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das Eleições Gerais de Quebec," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das Eleições Gerais de Quebec" is "PQ" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "PLQ" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das Eleições Gerais de Quebec" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.