Recent polls from September 2026 show Labour edging National by 1 point at 28% to 27%, with both major parties at multi-decade lows as support shifts to minor parties including the Greens at 14%, NZ First at 13%, and ACT at 9%. The National-led coalition government under Christopher Luxon faces headwinds from voter assessments of economic conditions and policy delivery ahead of the 7 November election. These trends support the current trader consensus favoring Labour as the likely largest party or government-forming bloc, though seat projections indicate a tight contest where minor-party negotiations under the MMP system could determine the outcome. Minor parties remain priced near zero given threshold risks and coalition dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNew Zealand legislative election winner?
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Labour Party 56%
National Party 45%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Green Party <1%
$61,373 Vol.
$61,373 Vol.
6 nov 2026
National Party
45%
Labour Party
56%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party 56%
National Party 45%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Green Party <1%
$61,373 Vol.
$61,373 Vol.
6 nov 2026
National Party
$24,464 Vol.
45%
Labour Party
$19,328 Vol.
56%
Green Party
$4,208 Vol.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$4,166 Vol.
<1%
New Zealand First Party
$4,960 Vol.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$4,245 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls from September 2026 show Labour edging National by 1 point at 28% to 27%, with both major parties at multi-decade lows as support shifts to minor parties including the Greens at 14%, NZ First at 13%, and ACT at 9%. The National-led coalition government under Christopher Luxon faces headwinds from voter assessments of economic conditions and policy delivery ahead of the 7 November election. These trends support the current trader consensus favoring Labour as the likely largest party or government-forming bloc, though seat projections indicate a tight contest where minor-party negotiations under the MMP system could determine the outcome. Minor parties remain priced near zero given threshold risks and coalition dynamics.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Mercado Aberto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Volume
$61,373Data de Término
7 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls from September 2026 show Labour edging National by 1 point at 28% to 27%, with both major parties at multi-decade lows as support shifts to minor parties including the Greens at 14%, NZ First at 13%, and ACT at 9%. The National-led coalition government under Christopher Luxon faces headwinds from voter assessments of economic conditions and policy delivery ahead of the 7 November election. These trends support the current trader consensus favoring Labour as the likely largest party or government-forming bloc, though seat projections indicate a tight contest where minor-party negotiations under the MMP system could determine the outcome. Minor parties remain priced near zero given threshold risks and coalition dynamics.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$61,373Data de Término
7 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from September 2026 show Labour edging National by 1 point at 28% to 27%, with both major parties at multi-decade lows as support shifts to minor parties including the Greens at 14%, NZ First at 13%, and ACT at 9%. The National-led coalition government under Christopher Luxon faces headwinds from voter assessments of economic conditions and policy delivery ahead of the 7 November election. These trends support the current trader consensus favoring Labour as the likely largest party or government-forming bloc, though seat projections indicate a tight contest where minor-party negotiations under the MMP system could determine the outcome. Minor parties remain priced near zero given threshold risks and coalition dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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