Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood's uncontested primary victory on March 17 solidified her commanding position in the IL-14 House race, with trader consensus implying 91% odds of reelection over Republican nominee James Marter, whom she has defeated in prior cycles. The district's D+3 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Underwood's fundraising edge—including a recent $146K disclosure—and historical performance in this exurban Chicago suburb anchor the lopsided pricing amid absent early general election polls. While national midterm trends could boost GOP turnout in battleground seats, realistic challenges would require Marter breakthroughs via superior spending, scandals targeting Underwood, or shifts on issues like healthcare and the economy before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoIL-14 House Election Winner
IL-14 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$419 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$2,653 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood's uncontested primary victory on March 17 solidified her commanding position in the IL-14 House race, with trader consensus implying 91% odds of reelection over Republican nominee James Marter, whom she has defeated in prior cycles. The district's D+3 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Underwood's fundraising edge—including a recent $146K disclosure—and historical performance in this exurban Chicago suburb anchor the lopsided pricing amid absent early general election polls. While national midterm trends could boost GOP turnout in battleground seats, realistic challenges would require Marter breakthroughs via superior spending, scandals targeting Underwood, or shifts on issues like healthcare and the economy before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$3,072Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood's uncontested primary victory on March 17 solidified her commanding position in the IL-14 House race, with trader consensus implying 91% odds of reelection over Republican nominee James Marter, whom she has defeated in prior cycles. The district's D+3 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Underwood's fundraising edge—including a recent $146K disclosure—and historical performance in this exurban Chicago suburb anchor the lopsided pricing amid absent early general election polls. While national midterm trends could boost GOP turnout in battleground seats, realistic challenges would require Marter breakthroughs via superior spending, scandals targeting Underwood, or shifts on issues like healthcare and the economy before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,072Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood's uncontested primary victory on March 17 solidified her commanding position in the IL-14 House race, with trader consensus implying 91% odds of reelection over Republican nominee James Marter, whom she has defeated in prior cycles. The district's D+3 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Underwood's fundraising edge—including a recent $146K disclosure—and historical performance in this exurban Chicago suburb anchor the lopsided pricing amid absent early general election polls. While national midterm trends could boost GOP turnout in battleground seats, realistic challenges would require Marter breakthroughs via superior spending, scandals targeting Underwood, or shifts on issues like healthcare and the economy before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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