Nuclear Weapons predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Iran

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

$18M Vol.

$130K today

$359K Liq.

157

15%

December 31

$18M Vol.

$130K today

$359K Liq.

157

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

$213K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$213K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$662K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

December 31

$662K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran Nuke before 2027?

$1M Vol.

$95.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$1M Vol.

$95.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Putin

U.S. nuclear test by...?

$797K Vol.

$30.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

December 31, 2026

$797K Vol.

$30.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

$263K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$263K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia nuclear test by...?

$6M Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

December 31, 2026

$6M Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Middle East

US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

$39.3K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$39.3K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Politics·Trump

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

$26.7K Vol.

$505 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$26.7K Vol.

$505 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

$377K Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

14%

December 31

$377K Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

$2M Vol.

$85.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

12%

$2M Vol.

$85.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Italy

Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by...?

$27.1K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

97%

$27.1K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Geopolitics·Iran

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

$29M Vol.

$172K Liq.

195

Ends in 3 months

December 31

$29M Vol.

$172K Liq.

195

Ends in 3 months

Politics·Congress

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

$561K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$561K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

$578K Vol.

$44.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

11%

$578K Vol.

$44.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

$73.9K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

$73.9K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

$18M Vol.

$150K Liq.

219

Ends in 3 months

December 31

$18M Vol.

$150K Liq.

219

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·China

China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

$12.2K Vol.

$756 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

29%

$12.2K Vol.

$756 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

$974K Vol.

$315K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$974K Vol.

$315K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

$0 Vol.

$717 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

64%

Nuclear TigeRES

$0 Vol.

$717 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Nuclear Weapons.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Nuclear Weapons that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $79.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Iran Nuke before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 6% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Nuclear Weapons predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Nuclear Weapons shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Nuclear Weapons prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Nuclear Weapons Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Nuclear Weapons prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Nuclear Weapons predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Iran

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

$18M Vol.

$130K today

$359K Liq.

157

15%

December 31

$18M Vol.

$130K today

$359K Liq.

157

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

$213K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$213K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$662K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

December 31

$662K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran Nuke before 2027?

$1M Vol.

$95.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$1M Vol.

$95.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Putin

U.S. nuclear test by...?

$797K Vol.

$30.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

December 31, 2026

$797K Vol.

$30.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

$263K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$263K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia nuclear test by...?

$6M Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

December 31, 2026

$6M Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Middle East

US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

$39.3K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$39.3K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Politics·Trump

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

$26.7K Vol.

$505 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$26.7K Vol.

$505 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

$377K Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

14%

December 31

$377K Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

$2M Vol.

$85.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

12%

$2M Vol.

$85.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Italy

Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by...?

$27.1K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

97%

$27.1K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Geopolitics·Iran

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

$29M Vol.

$172K Liq.

195

Ends in 3 months

December 31

$29M Vol.

$172K Liq.

195

Ends in 3 months

Politics·Congress

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

$561K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$561K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

$578K Vol.

$44.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

11%

$578K Vol.

$44.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

$73.9K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

$73.9K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

$18M Vol.

$150K Liq.

219

Ends in 3 months

December 31

$18M Vol.

$150K Liq.

219

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·China

China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

$12.2K Vol.

$756 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

29%

$12.2K Vol.

$756 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

$974K Vol.

$315K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$974K Vol.

$315K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

$0 Vol.

$717 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

64%

Nuclear TigeRES

$0 Vol.

$717 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Nuclear Weapons predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Nuclear Weapons prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Nuclear Weapons markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Nuclear Weapons prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Nuclear Weapons predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Nuclear Weapons odds?

Can I track Nuclear Weapons predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Nuclear Weapons markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Nuclear Weapons prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Nuclear Weapons markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Nuclear Weapons prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Nuclear Weapons predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Nuclear Weapons odds?

Can I track Nuclear Weapons predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Nuclear Weapons markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Nuclear Weapons predictions & odds