U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

8%

June 30

$585K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

37

Ends in 3 months

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

11%

$5.8K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

41%

December 31

$443K Vol.

$125K today

$63.2K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

5%

$657K Vol.

$33.5K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

21%

$269K Vol.

$29.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

36%

$24.0K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Russia nuclear test by...?

Russia nuclear test by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

7

U.S. nuclear test by...?

U.S. nuclear test by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$636K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

17

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

12%

$511K Vol.

$43.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

8%

$162K Vol.

$26.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

14%

$938K Vol.

$171K today

$25.8K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

45%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

108

Ends in 3 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

36%

December 31, 2026

$444K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

29

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

41%

$1M Vol.

$26.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

22%

$107K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

45%

$589K Vol.

$32.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

21%

$22.2K Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

36%

$486K Vol.

$36.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

55%

$3.0K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

US strike on Cuba by...?

US strike on Cuba by...?

35%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$31.3K Liq.

53

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Nuclear Weapons.

Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for Nuclear Weapons that lets you track or trade on predictions like “U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $13.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US strike on Cuba by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US strike on Cuba by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 35% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Nuclear Weapons predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.