Exit predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Middle East

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

$177K Vol.

$31.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

36%

$177K Vol.

$31.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Esports·Valorant

Which Players Will Leave Their Team in 2026?

$2.8K Vol.

$221 Liq.

58%

Primmie

$2.8K Vol.

$221 Liq.

Geopolitics·NATO

Will any country leave NATO by...?

$1M Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$6M Vol.

$53.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$6M Vol.

$53.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

$148K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$148K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Midterms

Which party will win Latino men in the midterms?

$1.2K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

87%

Democrats

$1.2K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·Midterms

Which party will win white women in the midterms?

$1.9K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

59%

Democrats

$1.9K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

World

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

$76.4K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$76.4K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Midterms

GOP Black vote share?

$1.7K Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

26%

10–11%

$1.7K Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·Midterms

Which party will win older women in the midterms?

$101 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

73%

Democrats

$101 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Politics·US House Of Representatives

Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?

$9.3K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$9.3K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Midterms

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

$523 Vol.

$665 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

26%

Democrats

$523 Vol.

$665 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Tech·AI

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

$11.8K Vol.

$355 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

17%

$11.8K Vol.

$355 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

$33.0K Vol.

$861 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

$33.0K Vol.

$861 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

$187K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

$187K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?

$118K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$118K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Diplomacy

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?

$31.0K Vol.

$871 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

24%

October 31

$31.0K Vol.

$871 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Tech·App Store

Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

$2.2K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$2.2K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Appeal

Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

$15.7K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

24%

March 31

$15.7K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group C

$786 Vol.

$823 Liq.

94%

BORRACHEIROS

$786 Vol.

$823 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Exit.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Exit that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will US withdraw from NATO by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will US withdraw from NATO by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 2% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Exit predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Exit shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Will US withdraw from NATO by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Exit prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Exit Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Exit prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Exit predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Middle East

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

$177K Vol.

$31.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

36%

$177K Vol.

$31.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Esports·Valorant

Which Players Will Leave Their Team in 2026?

$2.8K Vol.

$221 Liq.

58%

Primmie

$2.8K Vol.

$221 Liq.

Geopolitics·NATO

Will any country leave NATO by...?

$1M Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$6M Vol.

$53.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$6M Vol.

$53.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

$148K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$148K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Midterms

Which party will win Latino men in the midterms?

$1.2K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

87%

Democrats

$1.2K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·Midterms

Which party will win white women in the midterms?

$1.9K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

59%

Democrats

$1.9K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

World

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

$76.4K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$76.4K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Midterms

GOP Black vote share?

$1.7K Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

26%

10–11%

$1.7K Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·Midterms

Which party will win older women in the midterms?

$101 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

73%

Democrats

$101 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Politics·US House Of Representatives

Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?

$9.3K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$9.3K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Midterms

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

$523 Vol.

$665 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

26%

Democrats

$523 Vol.

$665 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Tech·AI

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

$11.8K Vol.

$355 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

17%

$11.8K Vol.

$355 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

$33.0K Vol.

$861 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

$33.0K Vol.

$861 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

$187K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

$187K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?

$118K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$118K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Diplomacy

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?

$31.0K Vol.

$871 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

24%

October 31

$31.0K Vol.

$871 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Tech·App Store

Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

$2.2K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$2.2K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Appeal

Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

$15.7K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

24%

March 31

$15.7K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group C

$786 Vol.

$823 Liq.

94%

BORRACHEIROS

$786 Vol.

$823 Liq.

Exit predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Exit prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Exit markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Exit prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Exit predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Exit odds?

Can I track Exit predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Exit markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Exit prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Exit markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Exit prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Exit predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Exit odds?

Can I track Exit predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Exit markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Exit predictions & odds