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Drop predictions & odds

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Will Ken Paxton drop out?

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

2%

$5.8K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

42%

$1.5K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 12 months

#1 song on Spotify this week? (May 15)

#1 song on Spotify this week? (May 15)

94%

Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj

$6.3K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (May 15)

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (May 15)

97%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$6.4K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

15%

$14.0K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

James Comey charges dropped by May 31?

James Comey charges dropped by May 31?

1%

$43.2K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 19 days

Don Lemon charges dropped?

Don Lemon charges dropped?

12%

$13.7K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

93%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

50%

December 31, 2027

$476K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

33

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

18%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

265

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

83%

50

$18.1K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

56%

↑ 85,000

$12M Vol.

$825K today

$3M Liq.

2

Ends in 20 days

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

58%

↓ $0.60

$1.5K Vol.

$348 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$123 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

70%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

68%

80-99

$13.3K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in about 9 hours

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

81%

↑ $4,800

$305K Vol.

$60.4K today

$133K Liq.

2

Ends in 20 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

51%

60-79

$8.1K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

94%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$30.9K Liq.

46

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

10

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Drop.

Polymarket currently hosts 111 active markets for Drop that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Ken Paxton drop out?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $20.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 80,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Drop predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.