Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

4%

$986K Vol.

$108K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?

Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?

54%

$1.2K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

Clavicular banned from Kick by...?

Clavicular banned from Kick by...?

31%

April 30

$68 Vol.

$422 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?

Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?

59%

$2.5K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

43%

June 30

$7.2K Vol.

$866 Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?

Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?

7%

$0 Vol.

$559 Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

23%

April 30

$53.9K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

18

Ends in 25 days

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

7%

51–60

$32.4K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

6

Ends in 2 days

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

100%

90-114

$3M Vol.

$1M today

$518K Liq.

Ends in 2 minutes

Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

16%

240-259

$2M Vol.

$767K today

$825K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?

What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?

59%

↓ $124

$2.3K Vol.

$252 Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

26%

280-299

$8M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Up

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Down

$168K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Up

$305K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Down

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Up

$193K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Up

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Down

$232K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Down

$125K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Bans.

Polymarket currently hosts 112 active markets for Bans that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $14.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 26% chance to 280-299. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Bans predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.