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Gaza

AllTrumpMidtermsGlobal ElectionsGov ShutdownEpsteinTexas SenatePrimariesChinaBrazilHungary ElectionSlovenia ElectionColombia ElectionGerman ElectionsVenezuelaCourtsUS ElectionTrade WarCongressMayoral ElectionsCabinetSenateIsraelCanada

Gaza

AllTrumpMidtermsGlobal ElectionsGov ShutdownEpsteinTexas SenatePrimariesChinaBrazilHungary ElectionSlovenia ElectionColombia ElectionGerman ElectionsVenezuelaCourtsUS ElectionTrade WarCongressMayoral ElectionsCabinetSenateIsraelCanada
Israel military action against Gaza on...? card icon

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$2M Vol.

Monthly

NCAA Tournament

Israel military action against Gaza on...? card icon

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

April 7

51%

Yes51%No49%

April 9

50%

Yes50%No50%

$22K Vol.

Monthly
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? card icon

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

19%

chance

Yes

No

NEW

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? card icon

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

18%

chance

Yes

No

$22K Vol.

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30? card icon

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

13%

chance

Yes

No

NEW

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? card icon

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

34%

chance

Yes

No

$66K Vol.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..? card icon

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

June 30

26%

Yes26%No74%

April 30

8%

Yes8%No92%

$422K Vol.

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? card icon

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

56%

chance

Yes

No

$44K Vol.

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...? card icon

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

18%

chance

Yes

No

$445K Vol.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? card icon

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Kuwait

27%

Yes27%No73%

Somaliland

26%

Yes26%No74%

$356K Vol.

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...? card icon

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

December 31

30%

Yes30%No70%

June 30

17%

Yes17%No83%

$499K Vol.

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...? card icon

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

December 31

38%

Yes38%No62%

June 30

19%

Yes19%No81%

$97K Vol.

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? card icon

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

5%

chance

Yes

No

$84K Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? card icon

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

51%

chance

Yes

No

$72K Vol.

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? card icon

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

28%

chance

Yes

No

$38K Vol.

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? card icon

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

13%

chance

Yes

No

$50K Vol.

All

1.6K

Trump

268

Midterms

543

Global Elections

130

Gov Shutdown

7

Epstein

22

Texas Senate

6

Primaries

178

China

40

Brazil

15

Hungary Election

15

Slovenia Election

5

Colombia Election

6

German Elections

4

Venezuela

31

Courts

18

US Election

144

Trade War

7

Congress

34

Mayoral Elections

6

Cabinet

7

Senate

7

Israel

80

Canada

28

Gaza

Gaza

Israel military action against Gaza on...? card icon

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$2M Vol.

Monthly

NCAA Tournament

Israel military action against Gaza on...? card icon

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

April 7

51%

Yes51%No49%

April 9

50%

Yes50%No50%

$22K Vol.

Monthly
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? card icon

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

19%

chance

Yes

No

NEW

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? card icon

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

18%

chance

Yes

No

$22K Vol.

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30? card icon

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

13%

chance

Yes

No

NEW

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? card icon

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

34%

chance

Yes

No

$66K Vol.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..? card icon

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

June 30

26%

Yes26%No74%

April 30

8%

Yes8%No92%

$422K Vol.

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? card icon

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

56%

chance

Yes

No

$44K Vol.

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...? card icon

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

18%

chance

Yes

No

$445K Vol.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? card icon

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Kuwait

27%

Yes27%No73%

Somaliland

26%

Yes26%No74%

$356K Vol.

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...? card icon

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

December 31

30%

Yes30%No70%

June 30

17%

Yes17%No83%

$499K Vol.

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...? card icon

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

December 31

38%

Yes38%No62%

June 30

19%

Yes19%No81%

$97K Vol.

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? card icon

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

5%

chance

Yes

No

$84K Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? card icon

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

51%

chance

Yes

No

$72K Vol.

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? card icon

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

28%

chance

Yes

No

$38K Vol.

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? card icon

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

13%

chance

Yes

No

$50K Vol.

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