Xi Jinping’s entrenched control over the Chinese Communist Party and military underpins the 96.5% implied probability that he will not exit power before 2027. Extensive purges of senior PLA commanders and Central Committee members through 2026 have eliminated potential rivals while reinforcing personal loyalty to the paramount leader, with analysts viewing these moves as strengthening rather than weakening his authority ahead of the 21st Party Congress scheduled for late 2027. That congress is widely expected to grant Xi a fourth term, consistent with his pattern of extending tenure beyond prior norms. Recent diplomatic activity, including summits with the United States, further signals continuity. Although unverified health speculation and the absence of a designated successor introduce residual uncertainty, no institutional mechanisms or elite signals point to removal within the narrow remaining window before year-end.