Xi Jinping’s entrenched control over the Communist Party and military underpins the 96.5% trader consensus against his removal before 2027. Recent purges of senior military figures, including Politburo expulsions in September 2026, have reinforced loyalty within the Central Military Commission while eliminating potential rivals. Analysts anticipate Xi will secure a fourth term as general secretary at the 21st Party Congress expected late next year, consistent with the removal of presidential term limits and the absence of any designated successor or visible challenge. Ongoing diplomatic activity, including the September 2026 summit with the United States, signals sustained capacity. While unverified health rumors have circulated, no confirmed incapacity exists. Unlikely shifts could still arise from an acute medical event or sudden elite fracture ahead of the congress.