Trader consensus on a 98.2% implied probability for no divorce reflects the complete absence of credible reports or official announcements regarding marital issues between Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, and his wife Peng Liyuan since their 1987 marriage. State media continues to portray their enduring partnership positively, with Peng maintaining high-profile roles as WHO Goodwill Ambassador for tuberculosis prevention—evidenced by her March 2026 virtual remarks urging global action and January tea chat with South Korea's First Lady. No developments in the past 30 days suggest discord, amid tight CCP control over leaders' personal disclosures. Scenarios like unforeseen health events, leaked scandals, or political upheaval could theoretically prompt an announcement by December 31, 2026, but face immense institutional barriers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$74,749 Vol.
$74,749 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$74,749 Vol.
$74,749 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus on a 98.2% implied probability for no divorce reflects the complete absence of credible reports or official announcements regarding marital issues between Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, and his wife Peng Liyuan since their 1987 marriage. State media continues to portray their enduring partnership positively, with Peng maintaining high-profile roles as WHO Goodwill Ambassador for tuberculosis prevention—evidenced by her March 2026 virtual remarks urging global action and January tea chat with South Korea's First Lady. No developments in the past 30 days suggest discord, amid tight CCP control over leaders' personal disclosures. Scenarios like unforeseen health events, leaked scandals, or political upheaval could theoretically prompt an announcement by December 31, 2026, but face immense institutional barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Market Opened: Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$74,749End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus on a 98.2% implied probability for no divorce reflects the complete absence of credible reports or official announcements regarding marital issues between Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, and his wife Peng Liyuan since their 1987 marriage. State media continues to portray their enduring partnership positively, with Peng maintaining high-profile roles as WHO Goodwill Ambassador for tuberculosis prevention—evidenced by her March 2026 virtual remarks urging global action and January tea chat with South Korea's First Lady. No developments in the past 30 days suggest discord, amid tight CCP control over leaders' personal disclosures. Scenarios like unforeseen health events, leaked scandals, or political upheaval could theoretically prompt an announcement by December 31, 2026, but face immense institutional barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Volume
$74,749End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a 98.2% implied probability for no divorce reflects the complete absence of credible reports or official announcements regarding marital issues between Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, and his wife Peng Liyuan since their 1987 marriage. State media continues to portray their enduring partnership positively, with Peng maintaining high-profile roles as WHO Goodwill Ambassador for tuberculosis prevention—evidenced by her March 2026 virtual remarks urging global action and January tea chat with South Korea's First Lady. No developments in the past 30 days suggest discord, amid tight CCP control over leaders' personal disclosures. Scenarios like unforeseen health events, leaked scandals, or political upheaval could theoretically prompt an announcement by December 31, 2026, but face immense institutional barriers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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