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TN-07 Special Election Margin of Victory

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TN-07 Special Election Margin of Victory

Van Epps 5–10% 100.0%

Van Epps 20%+ <1%

Van Epps 15–20% <1%

Van Epps 10–15% <1%

Polymarket

$379,958 Vol.

Van Epps 5–10% 100.0%

Van Epps 20%+ <1%

Van Epps 15–20% <1%

Van Epps 10–15% <1%

Polymarket

$379,958 Vol.

Van Epps 20%+

$6,819 Vol.

No

Van Epps 15–20%

$7,033 Vol.

No

Van Epps 10–15%

$63,996 Vol.

No

Van Epps 5–10%

$110,005 Vol.

Yes

Van Epps 0–5%

$129,158 Vol.

No

Behn victory

$62,945 Vol.

No

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Tennessee; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$379,958
End Date
Nov 26, 2025
Market Opened
Nov 21, 2025, 5:24 PM ET
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Tennessee; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"TN-07 Special Election Margin of Victory" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Van Epps 5–10%" at 100%, followed by "Van Epps 20%+" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "TN-07 Special Election Margin of Victory" has generated $380K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 21, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "TN-07 Special Election Margin of Victory," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "TN-07 Special Election Margin of Victory" is "Van Epps 5–10%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Van Epps 20%+" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "TN-07 Special Election Margin of Victory" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.