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What will Trump say during NRCC Dinner on March 25?

Market icon

What will Trump say during NRCC Dinner on March 25?

$0.00 Vol.

Mar 25, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

Democrat 15+ times

$0 Vol.

Yes

Job 15+ times

$0 Vol.

No

Hell 8+ times

$0 Vol.

Yes

Cheat / Cheater / Cheated / Cheating 10+ times

$0 Vol.

Yes

Biden / Obama 7+ times

$0 Vol.

Yes

Sleepy Joe

$0 Vol.

Yes

Mental Institution

$0 Vol.

No

SNAP / Food Stamp

$0 Vol.

No

ID / Identification

$0 Vol.

Yes

TSA

$0 Vol.

Yes

Favored Nation

$0 Vol.

Yes

Air Force / Space Force

$0 Vol.

Yes

Too Big to Rig

$0 Vol.

No

Beautiful Woman

$0 Vol.

No

No No No

$0 Vol.

No

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

$0 Vol.

Yes

Egg

$0 Vol.

No

Israel / Israeli

$0 Vol.

No

SAVE Act / SAVE America Act

$0 Vol.

Yes

Swing State

$0 Vol.

Yes

Filibuster

$0 Vol.

No

Make a Deal

$0 Vol.

Yes

Common Sense

$0 Vol.

Yes

Steve / Witkoff

$0 Vol.

Yes

-No Qualifying Event-

$0 Vol.

No

Tom / Homan

$0 Vol.

Yes

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver keynote remarks at the NRCC Dinner on March 25, 2026 (https://www.nrcc.org/2026/02/11/nrcc-announces-president-trump-as-keynote-speaker-for-2026-presidents-dinner/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President-elect Donald Trump addresses House Republicans at the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) dinner on March 25, 2025, in Washington, D.C., marking his first major speech to the conference amid a narrow GOP majority of 220-215 seats in the 119th Congress. Recent developments include Trump's endorsement of incumbent Speaker Mike Johnson against challengers like Rep. Chip Roy and others seeking conservative reforms, following intraparty tensions over spending bills and leadership accountability. Traders watch for signals on House priorities such as border security, government spending cuts, and cabinet confirmations, with the Speaker election on January 3 and inauguration on January 20 looming as key catalysts that could shift dynamics based on Trump's remarks.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver keynote remarks at the NRCC Dinner on March 25, 2026 (https://www.nrcc.org/2026/02/11/nrcc-announces-president-trump-as-keynote-speaker-for-2026-presidents-dinner/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$0
End Date
Mar 25, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 12:16 PM ET

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver keynote remarks at the NRCC Dinner on March 25, 2026 (https://www.nrcc.org/2026/02/11/nrcc-announces-president-trump-as-keynote-speaker-for-2026-presidents-dinner/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President-elect Donald Trump addresses House Republicans at the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) dinner on March 25, 2025, in Washington, D.C., marking his first major speech to the conference amid a narrow GOP majority of 220-215 seats in the 119th Congress. Recent developments include Trump's endorsement of incumbent Speaker Mike Johnson against challengers like Rep. Chip Roy and others seeking conservative reforms, following intraparty tensions over spending bills and leadership accountability. Traders watch for signals on House priorities such as border security, government spending cuts, and cabinet confirmations, with the Speaker election on January 3 and inauguration on January 20 looming as key catalysts that could shift dynamics based on Trump's remarks.

President-elect Donald Trump addresses House Republicans at the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) dinner on March 25, 2025, in Washington, D.C., marking his first major speech to the conference amid a narrow GOP majority of 220-215 seats in the 119th Congress. Recent developments include Trump's endorsement of incumbent Speaker Mike Johnson against challengers like Rep. Chip Roy and others seeking conservative reforms, following intraparty tensions over spending bills and leadership accountability. Traders watch for signals on House priorities such as border security, government spending cuts, and cabinet confirmations, with the Speaker election on January 3 and inauguration on January 20 looming as key catalysts that could shift dynamics based on Trump's remarks.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during NRCC Dinner on March 25? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Democrat 15+ times" at 100%, followed by "Hell 8+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will Trump say during NRCC Dinner on March 25? " is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will Trump say during NRCC Dinner on March 25? ," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during NRCC Dinner on March 25? " is "Democrat 15+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hell 8+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during NRCC Dinner on March 25? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.