Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 88.2%

500-750k 6.0%

<250k 2.1%

750k-1m 1.9%

$4,507,077 Vol

Rules

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 1,750,000 (inclusive) and 2,000,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$4,507,077
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
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Market icon

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

250-500k 88.2%

500-750k 6.0%

<250k 2.1%

750k-1m 1.9%

$4,507,077 Vol

<250k

$959,357 Vol.

2%

250-500k

$1,047,844 Vol.

88%

500-750k

$443,274 Vol.

6%

750k-1m

$389,484 Vol.

2%

1-1.25m

$382,954 Vol.

<1%

1.25-1.5m

$323,964 Vol.

<1%

1.5-1.75m

$354,072 Vol.

<1%

1.75-2m

$295,978 Vol.

<1%

2m+

$310,150 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$4,507,077
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jan 5, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
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Beware of external links.