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Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Market icon

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

OpenAI 84%

Anthropic 8%

Google 5.9%

DeepSeek 2.4%

Polymarket

$411,738 Vol.

OpenAI 84%

Anthropic 8%

Google 5.9%

DeepSeek 2.4%

Polymarket

$411,738 Vol.

Market icon

OpenAI

$44,142 Vol.

84%

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Anthropic

$45,953 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Google

$51,466 Vol.

6%

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DeepSeek

$37,253 Vol.

2%

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xAI

$36,502 Vol.

1%

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Moonshot

$30,315 Vol.

<1%

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Z.ai

$41,247 Vol.

<1%

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Alibaba

$37,548 Vol.

<1%

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Mistral

$87,312 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$411,738
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Created At
Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order. The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "OpenAI" at 84%, followed by "Anthropic" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?" has generated $411.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?" is "OpenAI" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Anthropic" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.