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Portugal Presidential Election

$78,229,451 Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 69%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 17%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 6.8%

André Ventura (CH) 5.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$78,229,451
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
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$78,229,451 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 69%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 17%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 6.8%

André Ventura (CH) 5.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$741,212 Vol.

69%

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$359,959 Vol.

17%

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$458,934 Vol.

7%

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André Ventura (CH)

$1,096,547 Vol.

5%

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António José Seguro (IND)

$340,499 Vol.

4%

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$13,857,819 Vol.

<1%

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$729,327 Vol.

<1%

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$250,217 Vol.

<1%

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Jorge Pinto

$4,809,608 Vol.

<1%

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$3,220,720 Vol.

<1%

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$181,172 Vol.

<1%

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$4,170,651 Vol.

<1%

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André Pestana (IND)

$1,680,482 Vol.

<1%

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$534,934 Vol.

<1%

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$7,820,073 Vol.

<1%

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,256,562 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$8,509,292 Vol.

<1%

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$3,620,239 Vol.

<1%

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$4,473,935 Vol.

<1%

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António Filipe (PCP)

$6,365,660 Vol.

<1%

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,054,632 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$3,698,322 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$78,229,451
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.