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Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

TWEET COUNT
3
Time left
TWEETS
3
Time left

<20 84%

20-39 14%

180-199 1.6%

40-59 1.3%

Polymarket

$12,113 Vol.

<20 84%

20-39 14%

180-199 1.6%

40-59 1.3%

Polymarket

$12,113 Vol.

<20

$3,450 Vol.

84%

20-39

$2,110 Vol.

14%

40-59

$1,036 Vol.

1%

60-79

$732 Vol.

1%

80-99

$698 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$628 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$693 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$675 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$693 Vol.

1%

180-199

$684 Vol.

2%

200+

$713 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices under 20 posts by Ayatollah Khamenei at 84% implied probability for March 24-31, 2026, reflecting his assassination on February 28 in US-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran, confirmed by Iranian state media and global outlets. The @khamenei_ir account, now managed post-martyrdom, continues sparingly reposting archival statements—three since March 24 (two on March 26, one on 27)—consistent with 2-3 weekly posts since early March amid national mourning and leadership transition. No uptick in activity signals from official announcements or succession developments sustains low-volume expectations, with 20-39 at 13.5% allowing for minor increases before March 31 resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices under 20 posts by Ayatollah Khamenei at 84% implied probability for March 24-31, 2026, reflecting his assassination on February 28 in US-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran, confirmed by Iranian state media and global outlets. The @khamenei_ir account, now managed post-martyrdom, continues sparingly reposting archival statements—three since March 24 (two on March 26, one on 27)—consistent with 2-3 weekly posts since early March amid national mourning and leadership transition. No uptick in activity signals from official announcements or succession developments sustains low-volume expectations, with 20-39 at 13.5% allowing for minor increases before March 31 resolution.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices under 20 posts by Ayatollah Khamenei at 84% implied probability for March 24-31, 2026, reflecting his assassination on February 28 in US-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran, confirmed by Iranian state media and global outlets. The @khamenei_ir account, now managed post-martyrdom, continues sparingly reposting archival statements—three since March 24 (two on March 26, one on 27)—consistent with 2-3 weekly posts since early March amid national mourning and leadership transition. No uptick in activity signals from official announcements or succession developments sustains low-volume expectations, with 20-39 at 13.5% allowing for minor increases before March 31 resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices under 20 posts by Ayatollah Khamenei at 84% implied probability for March 24-31, 2026, reflecting his assassination on February 28 in US-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran, confirmed by Iranian state media and global outlets. The @khamenei_ir account, now managed post-martyrdom, continues sparingly reposting archival statements—three since March 24 (two on March 26, one on 27)—consistent with 2-3 weekly posts since early March amid national mourning and leadership transition. No uptick in activity signals from official announcements or succession developments sustains low-volume expectations, with 20-39 at 13.5% allowing for minor increases before March 31 resolution.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

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Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 28?

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Will fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?

96%
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Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?

30%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<20" at 84%, followed by "20-39" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?" has generated $12.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?" is "<20" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20-39" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.