Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 20°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 24, driven by official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service recording a peak of exactly 20°C at key stations like Sde Dov, with no higher readings amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds capping daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had converged on 19-21°C ranges in the days prior, aligning with March climatology where Tel Aviv's average maximum is 19.5°C and extremes rarely exceed 23°C before April. Realistic challenges include potential late-in-day data revisions from peripheral stations or microclimate variations, though surface synoptic reports show stability, making deviations improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 24?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 24?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$94,179 Vol.
$94,179 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$94,179 Vol.
$94,179 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 20°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 24, driven by official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service recording a peak of exactly 20°C at key stations like Sde Dov, with no higher readings amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds capping daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had converged on 19-21°C ranges in the days prior, aligning with March climatology where Tel Aviv's average maximum is 19.5°C and extremes rarely exceed 23°C before April. Realistic challenges include potential late-in-day data revisions from peripheral stations or microclimate variations, though surface synoptic reports show stability, making deviations improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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