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Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

33°C 37%

34°C 33%

32°C or below 19%

35°C 10%

Polymarket
NEW

33°C 37%

34°C 33%

32°C or below 19%

35°C 10%

Polymarket
NEW

32°C or below

$1,107 Vol.

19%

33°C

$443 Vol.

37%

34°C

$1,328 Vol.

33%

35°C

$818 Vol.

10%

36°C

$680 Vol.

3%

37°C

$583 Vol.

1%

38°C

$748 Vol.

1%

39°C

$425 Vol.

<1%

40°C

$622 Vol.

<1%

41°C

$746 Vol.

<1%

42°C or higher

$754 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders on Polymarket price a highest temperature of 33°C at 36% implied probability for Lucknow on March 28, slightly ahead of 34°C at 30.5%, reflecting close alignment in India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast models amid typical late-March continental heating. Clear skies and light winds favor daytime maxima around 33-34°C, consistent with Lucknow's March average of 32-35°C, but subtle differences in model ensembles—such as GFS versus ECMWF—account for the tight race, with GFS leaning marginally cooler due to projected evening cloudiness. Low probabilities for extremes stem from absent heatwave signals, no El Niño amplification, and historical rarity of sub-32°C or 36°C+ peaks this late in dry season. Updated IMD bulletins expected within 24 hours could refine guidance as surface observations accumulate.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,255
End Date
Mar 28, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders on Polymarket price a highest temperature of 33°C at 36% implied probability for Lucknow on March 28, slightly ahead of 34°C at 30.5%, reflecting close alignment in India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast models amid typical late-March continental heating. Clear skies and light winds favor daytime maxima around 33-34°C, consistent with Lucknow's March average of 32-35°C, but subtle differences in model ensembles—such as GFS versus ECMWF—account for the tight race, with GFS leaning marginally cooler due to projected evening cloudiness. Low probabilities for extremes stem from absent heatwave signals, no El Niño amplification, and historical rarity of sub-32°C or 36°C+ peaks this late in dry season. Updated IMD bulletins expected within 24 hours could refine guidance as surface observations accumulate.

Traders on Polymarket price a highest temperature of 33°C at 36% implied probability for Lucknow on March 28, slightly ahead of 34°C at 30.5%, reflecting close alignment in India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast models amid typical late-March continental heating. Clear skies and light winds favor daytime maxima around 33-34°C, consistent with Lucknow's March average of 32-35°C, but subtle differences in model ensembles—such as GFS versus ECMWF—account for the tight race, with GFS leaning marginally cooler due to projected evening cloudiness. Low probabilities for extremes stem from absent heatwave signals, no El Niño amplification, and historical rarity of sub-32°C or 36°C+ peaks this late in dry season. Updated IMD bulletins expected within 24 hours could refine guidance as surface observations accumulate.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "33°C" at 37%, followed by "34°C" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?" is "33°C" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "34°C" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.