Trader consensus prices Atlanta's highest temperature on March 26 at 80-81°F (27.5% implied probability), narrowly ahead of 78-79°F and 82-83°F (25% each), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast calling for a high near 82°F under a potent high-pressure ridge fostering warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico. Ensemble models from NOAA's GEFS and ECMWF show a tight cluster around 81°F mean with ±2-3°F spread, boosted by southerly winds exceeding 10 mph and minimal cloud cover—factors historically yielding 80+°F in 65% of similar late-March setups since 2000. Lower odds for 74-77°F bins hinge on unlikely earlier frontal passage, while sub-72°F remains improbable absent cold air intrusion; watch 00z GFS/ECMWF updates for potential shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 26?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 26?
80-81°F 28%
78-79°F 25%
82-83°F 25%
84-85°F 20%
71°F or below
2%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
11%
90°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 28%
78-79°F 25%
82-83°F 25%
84-85°F 20%
71°F or below
2%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
11%
90°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Atlanta's highest temperature on March 26 at 80-81°F (27.5% implied probability), narrowly ahead of 78-79°F and 82-83°F (25% each), driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast calling for a high near 82°F under a potent high-pressure ridge fostering warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico. Ensemble models from NOAA's GEFS and ECMWF show a tight cluster around 81°F mean with ±2-3°F spread, boosted by southerly winds exceeding 10 mph and minimal cloud cover—factors historically yielding 80+°F in 65% of similar late-March setups since 2000. Lower odds for 74-77°F bins hinge on unlikely earlier frontal passage, while sub-72°F remains improbable absent cold air intrusion; watch 00z GFS/ECMWF updates for potential shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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