Trader consensus favors a high of 76-77°F in Atlanta on March 23 at 34.5% implied probability, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on this range under a dominant upper-level ridge ushering southerly winds and advection of warm Gulf air. Recent model runs show peak afternoon heating around 4-6 PM EDT with mostly clear skies and light winds minimizing cooling effects, though uncertainty lingers from potential diurnal cumulus clouds or a weak shortwave trough clipping the area northward. Historical March highs average 64°F at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, the likely resolution source, but springtime variability—evident in the broad 74-81°F distribution—hinges on boundary layer mixing and exact ridge amplitude.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
76-77°F 41%
80-81°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
78-79°F 18%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
6%
84°F or higher
4%
76-77°F 41%
80-81°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
78-79°F 18%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
6%
84°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a high of 76-77°F in Atlanta on March 23 at 34.5% implied probability, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on this range under a dominant upper-level ridge ushering southerly winds and advection of warm Gulf air. Recent model runs show peak afternoon heating around 4-6 PM EDT with mostly clear skies and light winds minimizing cooling effects, though uncertainty lingers from potential diurnal cumulus clouds or a weak shortwave trough clipping the area northward. Historical March highs average 64°F at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, the likely resolution source, but springtime variability—evident in the broad 74-81°F distribution—hinges on boundary layer mixing and exact ridge amplitude.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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