Latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center and ECMWF ensembles drive trader consensus toward 88-93°F highs for Dallas on March 26, forecasting 89-92°F peaks under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light southerly winds from the Gulf, and adiabatic warming aloft. The tight race among top bins stems from model spread—GFS runs averaging 91°F with stronger subsidence, Euro cooler at 89°F due to subtle moisture advection—compounded by Dallas's 2-4°F urban heat island boost over rural DFW sensors. Recent 12z updates show reduced cloud risks, but diurnal timing of peak heating or minor cold front nudges could differentiate outcomes, against a March climatological mean of 72°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on March 26?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 26?
90-91°F 27%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 25%
86-87°F 21%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
25%
94-95°F
15%
96-97°F
11%
98°F or higher
3%
90-91°F 27%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 25%
86-87°F 21%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
25%
94-95°F
15%
96-97°F
11%
98°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center and ECMWF ensembles drive trader consensus toward 88-93°F highs for Dallas on March 26, forecasting 89-92°F peaks under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light southerly winds from the Gulf, and adiabatic warming aloft. The tight race among top bins stems from model spread—GFS runs averaging 91°F with stronger subsidence, Euro cooler at 89°F due to subtle moisture advection—compounded by Dallas's 2-4°F urban heat island boost over rural DFW sensors. Recent 12z updates show reduced cloud risks, but diurnal timing of peak heating or minor cold front nudges could differentiate outcomes, against a March climatological mean of 72°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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