Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Los Angeles high temperature of 70-73°F on March 26, mirroring the National Weather Service forecast of around 72°F under persistent high-pressure ridging over California that promotes subsidence warming and clear skies. Differentiating factors include model spread—GFS ensembles peaking at 72-73°F inland while ECMWF shows slightly cooler 70-71°F due to lingering marine layer influence from the Pacific—and diurnal timing, with peak heat expected mid-afternoon amid light onshore flow. Above-seasonal averages (historical March highs ~68°F) stem from this upper-level ridge, but coastal cooling caps upside risk; evening NWS updates could refine probabilities as observations confirm boundary layer stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 32%
68-69°F 12.4%
74-75°F 12%
$38,253 Vol.
$38,253 Vol.
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 32%
68-69°F 12.4%
74-75°F 12%
$38,253 Vol.
$38,253 Vol.
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Los Angeles high temperature of 70-73°F on March 26, mirroring the National Weather Service forecast of around 72°F under persistent high-pressure ridging over California that promotes subsidence warming and clear skies. Differentiating factors include model spread—GFS ensembles peaking at 72-73°F inland while ECMWF shows slightly cooler 70-71°F due to lingering marine layer influence from the Pacific—and diurnal timing, with peak heat expected mid-afternoon amid light onshore flow. Above-seasonal averages (historical March highs ~68°F) stem from this upper-level ridge, but coastal cooling caps upside risk; evening NWS updates could refine probabilities as observations confirm boundary layer stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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