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Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

54-55°F 32%

52-53°F 21%

56-57°F 16%

58-59°F 7%

Polymarket

$20,443 Vol.

54-55°F 32%

52-53°F 21%

56-57°F 16%

58-59°F 7%

Polymarket

$20,443 Vol.

49°F or below

$2,486 Vol.

3%

50-51°F

$2,171 Vol.

7%

52-53°F

$1,932 Vol.

21%

54-55°F

$1,186 Vol.

32%

56-57°F

$1,018 Vol.

16%

58-59°F

$1,576 Vol.

7%

60-61°F

$1,317 Vol.

4%

62-63°F

$1,080 Vol.

2%

64-65°F

$1,915 Vol.

1%

66-67°F

$608 Vol.

1%

68°F or higher

$5,154 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckly Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF cluster Denver's high temperature on March 27 around 54-55°F—the market's leading outcome at 31% implied probability—following a cool front that cleared the region over the past 48 hours, allowing a weak upper-ridge to foster mild, sunny conditions with light winds. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus amid low model spread (within 3-4°F), tempered by high uncertainty from variable afternoon heating, potential high cloudiness, and Denver's high-elevation boundary layer dynamics that can amplify small forecast discrepancies. Outcomes like 52-53°F (20%) gain traction if northerly flow strengthens, while warmer 56-57°F (16%) hinges on enhanced solar insolation; new 12z model updates today could sharpen probabilities as the event nears resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckly Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,443
End Date
Mar 27, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckly Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF cluster Denver's high temperature on March 27 around 54-55°F—the market's leading outcome at 31% implied probability—following a cool front that cleared the region over the past 48 hours, allowing a weak upper-ridge to foster mild, sunny conditions with light winds. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus amid low model spread (within 3-4°F), tempered by high uncertainty from variable afternoon heating, potential high cloudiness, and Denver's high-elevation boundary layer dynamics that can amplify small forecast discrepancies. Outcomes like 52-53°F (20%) gain traction if northerly flow strengthens, while warmer 56-57°F (16%) hinges on enhanced solar insolation; new 12z model updates today could sharpen probabilities as the event nears resolution.

Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF cluster Denver's high temperature on March 27 around 54-55°F—the market's leading outcome at 31% implied probability—following a cool front that cleared the region over the past 48 hours, allowing a weak upper-ridge to foster mild, sunny conditions with light winds. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus amid low model spread (within 3-4°F), tempered by high uncertainty from variable afternoon heating, potential high cloudiness, and Denver's high-elevation boundary layer dynamics that can amplify small forecast discrepancies. Outcomes like 52-53°F (20%) gain traction if northerly flow strengthens, while warmer 56-57°F (16%) hinges on enhanced solar insolation; new 12z model updates today could sharpen probabilities as the event nears resolution.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "54-55°F" at 32%, followed by "52-53°F" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?" has generated $20.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?" is "54-55°F" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "52-53°F" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Denver on March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.