The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in Oregon's 4th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent partisan lean and the strength of incumbent Val Hoyle, who secured renomination in the May 19 primary against limited intra-party opposition. The district's voter base, centered in Lane and Benton counties, has supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles with margins that align with its D+6 partisan voting index, limiting Republican recruitment and national investment. Traders' consensus reflects these structural factors, including Hoyle's prior victories and the general election timeline of November 3. A shift remains possible only through unforeseen events such as a major scandal, candidate health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment that alters turnout patterns in this coastal and university-influenced area.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$9,146 거래량
91%
Republican Party
$92 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in Oregon's 4th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent partisan lean and the strength of incumbent Val Hoyle, who secured renomination in the May 19 primary against limited intra-party opposition. The district's voter base, centered in Lane and Benton counties, has supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles with margins that align with its D+6 partisan voting index, limiting Republican recruitment and national investment. Traders' consensus reflects these structural factors, including Hoyle's prior victories and the general election timeline of November 3. A shift remains possible only through unforeseen events such as a major scandal, candidate health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment that alters turnout patterns in this coastal and university-influenced area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$9,239종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in Oregon's 4th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent partisan lean and the strength of incumbent Val Hoyle, who secured renomination in the May 19 primary against limited intra-party opposition. The district's voter base, centered in Lane and Benton counties, has supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles with margins that align with its D+6 partisan voting index, limiting Republican recruitment and national investment. Traders' consensus reflects these structural factors, including Hoyle's prior victories and the general election timeline of November 3. A shift remains possible only through unforeseen events such as a major scandal, candidate health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment that alters turnout patterns in this coastal and university-influenced area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$9,239종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in Oregon's 4th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent partisan lean and the strength of incumbent Val Hoyle, who secured renomination in the May 19 primary against limited intra-party opposition. The district's voter base, centered in Lane and Benton counties, has supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles with margins that align with its D+6 partisan voting index, limiting Republican recruitment and national investment. Traders' consensus reflects these structural factors, including Hoyle's prior victories and the general election timeline of November 3. A shift remains possible only through unforeseen events such as a major scandal, candidate health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment that alters turnout patterns in this coastal and university-influenced area.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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