Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz maintains a commanding position in Oregon’s 2nd Congressional District due to its consistent conservative voting patterns and partisan voting index that has delivered reliable Republican margins in recent cycles. With fundraising totals exceeding $1 million and established name recognition, Bentz enters the May 19 primary against two Republican challengers holding clear structural advantages over a crowded Democratic field. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district’s rural geography and limited history of competitive Democratic performance. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican aligns with these fundamentals, though scenarios such as an unusually divisive primary outcome or a late-cycle national shift could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$1,323 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$2,744 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz maintains a commanding position in Oregon’s 2nd Congressional District due to its consistent conservative voting patterns and partisan voting index that has delivered reliable Republican margins in recent cycles. With fundraising totals exceeding $1 million and established name recognition, Bentz enters the May 19 primary against two Republican challengers holding clear structural advantages over a crowded Democratic field. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district’s rural geography and limited history of competitive Democratic performance. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican aligns with these fundamentals, though scenarios such as an unusually divisive primary outcome or a late-cycle national shift could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$4,068종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz maintains a commanding position in Oregon’s 2nd Congressional District due to its consistent conservative voting patterns and partisan voting index that has delivered reliable Republican margins in recent cycles. With fundraising totals exceeding $1 million and established name recognition, Bentz enters the May 19 primary against two Republican challengers holding clear structural advantages over a crowded Democratic field. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district’s rural geography and limited history of competitive Democratic performance. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican aligns with these fundamentals, though scenarios such as an unusually divisive primary outcome or a late-cycle national shift could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$4,068종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz maintains a commanding position in Oregon’s 2nd Congressional District due to its consistent conservative voting patterns and partisan voting index that has delivered reliable Republican margins in recent cycles. With fundraising totals exceeding $1 million and established name recognition, Bentz enters the May 19 primary against two Republican challengers holding clear structural advantages over a crowded Democratic field. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district’s rural geography and limited history of competitive Democratic performance. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican aligns with these fundamentals, though scenarios such as an unusually divisive primary outcome or a late-cycle national shift could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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