Incumbent Virginia Foxx secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 74 percent of the vote in North Carolina’s 5th congressional district, a seat she has held since 2004. The district’s partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly nine points, and it supported the party’s presidential candidate by double digits in the prior cycle. Major forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have rated the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary winner Chuck Hubbard faces the same structural headwinds that have kept the seat in Republican hands for two decades, with no recent developments in fundraising, endorsements, or redistricting that have altered the underlying electoral math. Traders therefore assign the Republican Party an 85.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$28,676 거래량
$28,676 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
86%
민주당
12%
$28,676 거래량
$28,676 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$21,874 거래량
86%
민주당
$6,801 거래량
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Virginia Foxx secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 74 percent of the vote in North Carolina’s 5th congressional district, a seat she has held since 2004. The district’s partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly nine points, and it supported the party’s presidential candidate by double digits in the prior cycle. Major forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have rated the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary winner Chuck Hubbard faces the same structural headwinds that have kept the seat in Republican hands for two decades, with no recent developments in fundraising, endorsements, or redistricting that have altered the underlying electoral math. Traders therefore assign the Republican Party an 85.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$28,676종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Virginia Foxx secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 74 percent of the vote in North Carolina’s 5th congressional district, a seat she has held since 2004. The district’s partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly nine points, and it supported the party’s presidential candidate by double digits in the prior cycle. Major forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have rated the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary winner Chuck Hubbard faces the same structural headwinds that have kept the seat in Republican hands for two decades, with no recent developments in fundraising, endorsements, or redistricting that have altered the underlying electoral math. Traders therefore assign the Republican Party an 85.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$28,676종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Virginia Foxx secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 74 percent of the vote in North Carolina’s 5th congressional district, a seat she has held since 2004. The district’s partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly nine points, and it supported the party’s presidential candidate by double digits in the prior cycle. Major forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have rated the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary winner Chuck Hubbard faces the same structural headwinds that have kept the seat in Republican hands for two decades, with no recent developments in fundraising, endorsements, or redistricting that have altered the underlying electoral math. Traders therefore assign the Republican Party an 85.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문