North Carolina's 3rd congressional district's partisan lean continues to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the 2026 House race. The seat, held by incumbent Greg Murphy, would have favored Donald Trump by 14 points in the most recent presidential results even after 2025 map adjustments that shifted boundaries modestly leftward. Democratic primary voters selected Raymond Smith Jr. in March, but no high-profile challenger has emerged to test the district's underlying Republican advantage. Cook Political Report and other analysts classify the contest as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting limited shifts in voter registration, fundraising gaps favoring the incumbent, and the absence of national conditions that would normally erode the party's position in this rural coastal area.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$18,673 거래량
$18,673 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
84%
민주당
13%
$18,673 거래량
$18,673 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$14,045 거래량
84%
민주당
$4,628 거래량
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 3rd congressional district's partisan lean continues to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the 2026 House race. The seat, held by incumbent Greg Murphy, would have favored Donald Trump by 14 points in the most recent presidential results even after 2025 map adjustments that shifted boundaries modestly leftward. Democratic primary voters selected Raymond Smith Jr. in March, but no high-profile challenger has emerged to test the district's underlying Republican advantage. Cook Political Report and other analysts classify the contest as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting limited shifts in voter registration, fundraising gaps favoring the incumbent, and the absence of national conditions that would normally erode the party's position in this rural coastal area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$18,673종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 3rd congressional district's partisan lean continues to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the 2026 House race. The seat, held by incumbent Greg Murphy, would have favored Donald Trump by 14 points in the most recent presidential results even after 2025 map adjustments that shifted boundaries modestly leftward. Democratic primary voters selected Raymond Smith Jr. in March, but no high-profile challenger has emerged to test the district's underlying Republican advantage. Cook Political Report and other analysts classify the contest as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting limited shifts in voter registration, fundraising gaps favoring the incumbent, and the absence of national conditions that would normally erode the party's position in this rural coastal area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$18,673종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 3rd congressional district's partisan lean continues to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the 2026 House race. The seat, held by incumbent Greg Murphy, would have favored Donald Trump by 14 points in the most recent presidential results even after 2025 map adjustments that shifted boundaries modestly leftward. Democratic primary voters selected Raymond Smith Jr. in March, but no high-profile challenger has emerged to test the district's underlying Republican advantage. Cook Political Report and other analysts classify the contest as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting limited shifts in voter registration, fundraising gaps favoring the incumbent, and the absence of national conditions that would normally erode the party's position in this rural coastal area.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문