Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, driven by its urban Detroit demographics and a partisan voting index that has produced consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Shri Thanedar is seeking reelection amid an August primary featuring multiple challengers, while Republican contenders advance through their own primary with minimal statewide infrastructure. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the overwhelming trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could narrow the gap before the November general election, though structural factors and historical turnout patterns limit realistic pathways for Republican success.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$36,114 거래량
$36,114 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
97%
공화당
1%
$36,114 거래량
$36,114 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$22,349 거래량
97%
공화당
$13,765 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, driven by its urban Detroit demographics and a partisan voting index that has produced consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Shri Thanedar is seeking reelection amid an August primary featuring multiple challengers, while Republican contenders advance through their own primary with minimal statewide infrastructure. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the overwhelming trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could narrow the gap before the November general election, though structural factors and historical turnout patterns limit realistic pathways for Republican success.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$36,114종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, driven by its urban Detroit demographics and a partisan voting index that has produced consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Shri Thanedar is seeking reelection amid an August primary featuring multiple challengers, while Republican contenders advance through their own primary with minimal statewide infrastructure. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the overwhelming trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could narrow the gap before the November general election, though structural factors and historical turnout patterns limit realistic pathways for Republican success.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$36,114종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, driven by its urban Detroit demographics and a partisan voting index that has produced consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Shri Thanedar is seeking reelection amid an August primary featuring multiple challengers, while Republican contenders advance through their own primary with minimal statewide infrastructure. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the overwhelming trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could narrow the gap before the November general election, though structural factors and historical turnout patterns limit realistic pathways for Republican success.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문