The open seat in Michigan's 10th congressional district, created after Republican Representative John James opted to run for governor, has positioned Democratic candidates to mount a strong challenge in the November 2026 general election. A crowded Democratic primary field is advancing ahead of the August 4 contest, while Republican contenders including Michael Bouchard and Robert Lulgjuraj have reported substantial first-quarter fundraising that underscores an active but divided GOP nomination battle. Recent campaign finance disclosures and the district's history of competitive margins have shaped the current trader consensus reflected in these implied probabilities. Primary outcomes and any shifts in national midterm conditions could still alter the trajectory before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
31%
Democratic Party
62%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$225 거래량
31%
Democratic Party
$710 거래량
62%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan's 10th congressional district, created after Republican Representative John James opted to run for governor, has positioned Democratic candidates to mount a strong challenge in the November 2026 general election. A crowded Democratic primary field is advancing ahead of the August 4 contest, while Republican contenders including Michael Bouchard and Robert Lulgjuraj have reported substantial first-quarter fundraising that underscores an active but divided GOP nomination battle. Recent campaign finance disclosures and the district's history of competitive margins have shaped the current trader consensus reflected in these implied probabilities. Primary outcomes and any shifts in national midterm conditions could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
거래량
$935종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan's 10th congressional district, created after Republican Representative John James opted to run for governor, has positioned Democratic candidates to mount a strong challenge in the November 2026 general election. A crowded Democratic primary field is advancing ahead of the August 4 contest, while Republican contenders including Michael Bouchard and Robert Lulgjuraj have reported substantial first-quarter fundraising that underscores an active but divided GOP nomination battle. Recent campaign finance disclosures and the district's history of competitive margins have shaped the current trader consensus reflected in these implied probabilities. Primary outcomes and any shifts in national midterm conditions could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$935종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Michigan's 10th congressional district, created after Republican Representative John James opted to run for governor, has positioned Democratic candidates to mount a strong challenge in the November 2026 general election. A crowded Democratic primary field is advancing ahead of the August 4 contest, while Republican contenders including Michael Bouchard and Robert Lulgjuraj have reported substantial first-quarter fundraising that underscores an active but divided GOP nomination battle. Recent campaign finance disclosures and the district's history of competitive margins have shaped the current trader consensus reflected in these implied probabilities. Primary outcomes and any shifts in national midterm conditions could still alter the trajectory before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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