Incumbent Democratic Representative André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote against three challengers, positioning him to defend the seat he has held since 2008 in the heavily Democratic-leaning Indianapolis-based Seventh District. The district's partisan composition, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and limited Republican recruitment underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. Patrick McAuley, the Republican nominee, faces structural barriers in a constituency where Democrats hold a substantial registration and voting edge. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift could still alter the outcome, though such factors have not materialized in comparable safe seats.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$1,895 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$396 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote against three challengers, positioning him to defend the seat he has held since 2008 in the heavily Democratic-leaning Indianapolis-based Seventh District. The district's partisan composition, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and limited Republican recruitment underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. Patrick McAuley, the Republican nominee, faces structural barriers in a constituency where Democrats hold a substantial registration and voting edge. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift could still alter the outcome, though such factors have not materialized in comparable safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$2,291종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote against three challengers, positioning him to defend the seat he has held since 2008 in the heavily Democratic-leaning Indianapolis-based Seventh District. The district's partisan composition, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and limited Republican recruitment underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. Patrick McAuley, the Republican nominee, faces structural barriers in a constituency where Democrats hold a substantial registration and voting edge. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift could still alter the outcome, though such factors have not materialized in comparable safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,291종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote against three challengers, positioning him to defend the seat he has held since 2008 in the heavily Democratic-leaning Indianapolis-based Seventh District. The district's partisan composition, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and limited Republican recruitment underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. Patrick McAuley, the Republican nominee, faces structural barriers in a constituency where Democrats hold a substantial registration and voting edge. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift could still alter the outcome, though such factors have not materialized in comparable safe seats.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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