Rosa DeLauro’s long incumbency and the district’s consistent Democratic lean anchor trader consensus for a Democratic hold in Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+8 and delivered DeLauro 58.9 percent in 2024, reflecting entrenched voter support and strong name recognition across New Haven, Middletown, and surrounding areas. Her May 2026 reelection announcement, combined with a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic primary challengers and minimal resources among Republican contenders ahead of the June 9 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, has kept implied probabilities above 90 percent. A national midterm wave favoring Republicans, an unexpected primary upset, or late developments such as health concerns or scandals remain the primary factors that could still shift the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$579 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$2,015 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rosa DeLauro’s long incumbency and the district’s consistent Democratic lean anchor trader consensus for a Democratic hold in Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+8 and delivered DeLauro 58.9 percent in 2024, reflecting entrenched voter support and strong name recognition across New Haven, Middletown, and surrounding areas. Her May 2026 reelection announcement, combined with a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic primary challengers and minimal resources among Republican contenders ahead of the June 9 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, has kept implied probabilities above 90 percent. A national midterm wave favoring Republicans, an unexpected primary upset, or late developments such as health concerns or scandals remain the primary factors that could still shift the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$2,594종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rosa DeLauro’s long incumbency and the district’s consistent Democratic lean anchor trader consensus for a Democratic hold in Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+8 and delivered DeLauro 58.9 percent in 2024, reflecting entrenched voter support and strong name recognition across New Haven, Middletown, and surrounding areas. Her May 2026 reelection announcement, combined with a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic primary challengers and minimal resources among Republican contenders ahead of the June 9 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, has kept implied probabilities above 90 percent. A national midterm wave favoring Republicans, an unexpected primary upset, or late developments such as health concerns or scandals remain the primary factors that could still shift the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,594종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rosa DeLauro’s long incumbency and the district’s consistent Democratic lean anchor trader consensus for a Democratic hold in Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+8 and delivered DeLauro 58.9 percent in 2024, reflecting entrenched voter support and strong name recognition across New Haven, Middletown, and surrounding areas. Her May 2026 reelection announcement, combined with a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic primary challengers and minimal resources among Republican contenders ahead of the June 9 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, has kept implied probabilities above 90 percent. A national midterm wave favoring Republicans, an unexpected primary upset, or late developments such as health concerns or scandals remain the primary factors that could still shift the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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