Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent ratings of Solid Democratic or Safe D from forecasters including Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections. Incumbent Adelita Grijalva, who secured the seat in the 2025 special election following her father's passing, benefits from established name recognition and endorsements across party factions ahead of the July 21, 2026 primary. The district's majority-Hispanic demographics and border-region voting patterns further reinforce the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A narrow Republican path would require either an unforeseen national political shift or significant local developments, such as primary volatility or late-cycle scandals, to meaningfully alter the implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$3,090 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$4,355 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent ratings of Solid Democratic or Safe D from forecasters including Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections. Incumbent Adelita Grijalva, who secured the seat in the 2025 special election following her father's passing, benefits from established name recognition and endorsements across party factions ahead of the July 21, 2026 primary. The district's majority-Hispanic demographics and border-region voting patterns further reinforce the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A narrow Republican path would require either an unforeseen national political shift or significant local developments, such as primary volatility or late-cycle scandals, to meaningfully alter the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$7,445종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent ratings of Solid Democratic or Safe D from forecasters including Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections. Incumbent Adelita Grijalva, who secured the seat in the 2025 special election following her father's passing, benefits from established name recognition and endorsements across party factions ahead of the July 21, 2026 primary. The district's majority-Hispanic demographics and border-region voting patterns further reinforce the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A narrow Republican path would require either an unforeseen national political shift or significant local developments, such as primary volatility or late-cycle scandals, to meaningfully alter the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,445종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent ratings of Solid Democratic or Safe D from forecasters including Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections. Incumbent Adelita Grijalva, who secured the seat in the 2025 special election following her father's passing, benefits from established name recognition and endorsements across party factions ahead of the July 21, 2026 primary. The district's majority-Hispanic demographics and border-region voting patterns further reinforce the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A narrow Republican path would require either an unforeseen national political shift or significant local developments, such as primary volatility or late-cycle scandals, to meaningfully alter the implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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