Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic structural edge, reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent voter registration advantages in the Tucson and southern Arizona region. Adelita Grijalva secured the seat in the September 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote after succeeding her late father, Raúl Grijalva, and has since announced her candidacy for a full term in the November 2026 general election. Cook Political Report and other nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic, citing the incumbent's established name recognition and the district's long history of Democratic representation. With primaries scheduled for July 2026, the current market positioning aligns with these baseline factors. A shift in odds would require unusual developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated primary upset capable of altering the general-election matchup.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$3,090 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$4,355 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic structural edge, reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent voter registration advantages in the Tucson and southern Arizona region. Adelita Grijalva secured the seat in the September 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote after succeeding her late father, Raúl Grijalva, and has since announced her candidacy for a full term in the November 2026 general election. Cook Political Report and other nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic, citing the incumbent's established name recognition and the district's long history of Democratic representation. With primaries scheduled for July 2026, the current market positioning aligns with these baseline factors. A shift in odds would require unusual developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated primary upset capable of altering the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$7,445종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic structural edge, reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent voter registration advantages in the Tucson and southern Arizona region. Adelita Grijalva secured the seat in the September 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote after succeeding her late father, Raúl Grijalva, and has since announced her candidacy for a full term in the November 2026 general election. Cook Political Report and other nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic, citing the incumbent's established name recognition and the district's long history of Democratic representation. With primaries scheduled for July 2026, the current market positioning aligns with these baseline factors. A shift in odds would require unusual developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated primary upset capable of altering the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,445종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic structural edge, reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent voter registration advantages in the Tucson and southern Arizona region. Adelita Grijalva secured the seat in the September 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote after succeeding her late father, Raúl Grijalva, and has since announced her candidacy for a full term in the November 2026 general election. Cook Political Report and other nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic, citing the incumbent's established name recognition and the district's long history of Democratic representation. With primaries scheduled for July 2026, the current market positioning aligns with these baseline factors. A shift in odds would require unusual developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unanticipated primary upset capable of altering the general-election matchup.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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