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政治·ベネズエラ

ベネズエラの大統領選挙は...予定されていますか？

Market icon
政治·ベネズエラ

ベネズエラの大統領選挙は...予定されていますか？

$483,104 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$483,104 Vol.

Polymarket

3月31日

$171,306 Vol.

<1%

12月31日

$6,711 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following U.S. forces' capture of former President Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 on drug and narcotics charges—capped by his March 26 New York court appearance where he contested the indictment—Venezuela operates under interim President Delcy Rodríguez, whose high court declared Maduro's absence temporary, obviating an immediate election. Opposition leader María Corina Machado, announcing her return in coming weeks as of March 1, demands elections within months per constitutional timelines for absolute vacancy (potentially by August), citing 40 weeks needed for preparation, while the National Assembly prioritizes stability over a set calendar. Traders weigh U.S. influence, institutional delays, and coalition pressures amid no announced date for the next presidential vote.

Following U.S. forces' capture of former President Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 on drug and narcotics charges—capped by his March 26 New York court appearance where he contested the indictment—Venezuela operates under interim President Delcy Rodríguez, whose high court declared Maduro's absence temporary, obviating an immediate election. Opposition leader María Corina Machado, announcing her return in coming weeks as of March 1, demands elections within months per constitutional timelines for absolute vacancy (potentially by August), citing 40 weeks needed for preparation, while the National Assembly prioritizes stability over a set calendar. Traders weigh U.S. influence, institutional delays, and coalition pressures amid no announced date for the next presidential vote.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following U.S. forces' capture of former President Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 on drug and narcotics charges—capped by his March 26 New York court appearance where he contested the indictment—Venezuela operates under interim President Delcy Rodríguez, whose high court declared Maduro's absence temporary, obviating an immediate election. Opposition leader María Corina Machado, announcing her return in coming weeks as of March 1, demands elections within months per constitutional timelines for absolute vacancy (potentially by August), citing 40 weeks needed for preparation, while the National Assembly prioritizes stability over a set calendar. Traders weigh U.S. influence, institutional delays, and coalition pressures amid no announced date for the next presidential vote.

Following U.S. forces' capture of former President Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 on drug and narcotics charges—capped by his March 26 New York court appearance where he contested the indictment—Venezuela operates under interim President Delcy Rodríguez, whose high court declared Maduro's absence temporary, obviating an immediate election. Opposition leader María Corina Machado, announcing her return in coming weeks as of March 1, demands elections within months per constitutional timelines for absolute vacancy (potentially by August), citing 40 weeks needed for preparation, while the National Assembly prioritizes stability over a set calendar. Traders weigh U.S. influence, institutional delays, and coalition pressures amid no announced date for the next presidential vote.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「ベネズエラの大統領選挙は...予定されていますか？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で42%、次いで「3月31日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、42¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に42%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ベネズエラの大統領選挙は...予定されていますか？」は$483.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ベネズエラの大統領選挙は...予定されていますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ベネズエラの大統領選挙は...予定されていますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で42%であり、市場がこの結果に42%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「3月31日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ベネズエラの大統領選挙は...予定されていますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。