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2025年第4四半期の英国のGDP成長率は?

Market icon

2025年第4四半期の英国のGDP成長率は?

1.0~1.5% 100.0%

マイナス <1%

0.0-0.5% <1%

0.5〜1.0% <1%

Polymarket

$19,194 Vol.

1.0~1.5% 100.0%

マイナス <1%

0.0-0.5% <1%

0.5〜1.0% <1%

Polymarket

$19,194 Vol.

マイナス

$2,569 Vol.

いいえ

0.0-0.5%

$2,977 Vol.

いいえ

0.5〜1.0%

$3,342 Vol.

いいえ

1.0~1.5%

$5,283 Vol.

はい

1.5〜2.0%

$1,985 Vol.

いいえ

2.0~2.5%

$1,537 Vol.

いいえ

>2.5%

$1,501 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) compared with the same quarter a year ago in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for February 12, 2026, 7:00 AM.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$19,194
終了日
Feb 12, 2026
作成日時
Dec 9, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) compared with the same quarter a year ago in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for February 12, 2026, 7:00 AM. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2025年第4四半期の英国のGDP成長率は?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1.0~1.5%" at 100%, followed by "マイナス" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2025年第4四半期の英国のGDP成長率は?" has generated $19.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2025年第4四半期の英国のGDP成長率は?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2025年第4四半期の英国のGDP成長率は?" is "1.0~1.5%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "マイナス" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2025年第4四半期の英国のGDP成長率は?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.