Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's decisive March 10 primary victory over challenger Sarah Adlakha has solidified trader consensus at 90% for a GOP hold in Mississippi's deep-red Senate race, reflecting the state's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections and historical incumbency advantages. Democrat Scott Colom, a district attorney who advanced from his primary, benefits from unusually high Democratic turnout that sparked minor optimism in late March analyses, yet polls and base rates show scant path to victory amid low statewide Democratic performance. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm dynamics or unforeseen scandals could shift odds, but current pricing embodies skin-in-the-game confidence in Hyde-Smith's reelection.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$11,364 Vol.
$11,364 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
90%
民主党
8%
$11,364 Vol.
$11,364 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$9,663 Vol.
90%
民主党
$1,701 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's decisive March 10 primary victory over challenger Sarah Adlakha has solidified trader consensus at 90% for a GOP hold in Mississippi's deep-red Senate race, reflecting the state's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections and historical incumbency advantages. Democrat Scott Colom, a district attorney who advanced from his primary, benefits from unusually high Democratic turnout that sparked minor optimism in late March analyses, yet polls and base rates show scant path to victory amid low statewide Democratic performance. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm dynamics or unforeseen scandals could shift odds, but current pricing embodies skin-in-the-game confidence in Hyde-Smith's reelection.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
音量
$11,364終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's decisive March 10 primary victory over challenger Sarah Adlakha has solidified trader consensus at 90% for a GOP hold in Mississippi's deep-red Senate race, reflecting the state's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections and historical incumbency advantages. Democrat Scott Colom, a district attorney who advanced from his primary, benefits from unusually high Democratic turnout that sparked minor optimism in late March analyses, yet polls and base rates show scant path to victory amid low statewide Democratic performance. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm dynamics or unforeseen scandals could shift odds, but current pricing embodies skin-in-the-game confidence in Hyde-Smith's reelection.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$11,364終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's decisive March 10 primary victory over challenger Sarah Adlakha has solidified trader consensus at 90% for a GOP hold in Mississippi's deep-red Senate race, reflecting the state's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections and historical incumbency advantages. Democrat Scott Colom, a district attorney who advanced from his primary, benefits from unusually high Democratic turnout that sparked minor optimism in late March analyses, yet polls and base rates show scant path to victory amid low statewide Democratic performance. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm dynamics or unforeseen scandals could shift odds, but current pricing embodies skin-in-the-game confidence in Hyde-Smith's reelection.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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