Incumbent Governor Henry McMaster's term limit creates an open seat for the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election, with Republican primary on June 9 heavily favoring the eventual GOP nominee per trader consensus at 88%, reflecting the state's Republican trifecta, supermajority in the legislature, and no Democratic governor since 2003. Recent co/efficient polling from March 26-27 shows a fragmented GOP primary—Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette at 19%, Rep. Nancy Mace at 18%, Attorney General Alan Wilson at 15%, and high undecided at 30%—while Democrats field multiple lesser-known candidates without competitive polling. The GOP's first primary debate next week and filing deadline could consolidate support, but historical base rates in this deep-red battleground underscore slim odds for a Democratic upset in November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
88%
民主党
12%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$3,463 Vol.
88%
民主党
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Governor Henry McMaster's term limit creates an open seat for the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election, with Republican primary on June 9 heavily favoring the eventual GOP nominee per trader consensus at 88%, reflecting the state's Republican trifecta, supermajority in the legislature, and no Democratic governor since 2003. Recent co/efficient polling from March 26-27 shows a fragmented GOP primary—Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette at 19%, Rep. Nancy Mace at 18%, Attorney General Alan Wilson at 15%, and high undecided at 30%—while Democrats field multiple lesser-known candidates without competitive polling. The GOP's first primary debate next week and filing deadline could consolidate support, but historical base rates in this deep-red battleground underscore slim odds for a Democratic upset in November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$3,463終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Governor Henry McMaster's term limit creates an open seat for the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election, with Republican primary on June 9 heavily favoring the eventual GOP nominee per trader consensus at 88%, reflecting the state's Republican trifecta, supermajority in the legislature, and no Democratic governor since 2003. Recent co/efficient polling from March 26-27 shows a fragmented GOP primary—Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette at 19%, Rep. Nancy Mace at 18%, Attorney General Alan Wilson at 15%, and high undecided at 30%—while Democrats field multiple lesser-known candidates without competitive polling. The GOP's first primary debate next week and filing deadline could consolidate support, but historical base rates in this deep-red battleground underscore slim odds for a Democratic upset in November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$3,463終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Governor Henry McMaster's term limit creates an open seat for the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election, with Republican primary on June 9 heavily favoring the eventual GOP nominee per trader consensus at 88%, reflecting the state's Republican trifecta, supermajority in the legislature, and no Democratic governor since 2003. Recent co/efficient polling from March 26-27 shows a fragmented GOP primary—Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette at 19%, Rep. Nancy Mace at 18%, Attorney General Alan Wilson at 15%, and high undecided at 30%—while Democrats field multiple lesser-known candidates without competitive polling. The GOP's first primary debate next week and filing deadline could consolidate support, but historical base rates in this deep-red battleground underscore slim odds for a Democratic upset in November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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