Taiwan's Legislative Yuan, controlled by KMT and TPP lawmakers holding about 60 seats out of 113, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in late December 2025 over his refusal to promulgate a revised fiscal allocation law shifting revenue from central to local governments, sparking a constitutional standoff. Public hearings commenced in mid-January 2026, with deliberations continuing into late January amid partisan clashes, but President Lai declined to attend, dismissing the effort as symbolic. Trader consensus at 96.4% "No" reflects the opposition's inability to secure the two-thirds supermajority (roughly 76 votes) required to pass impeachment, absent unlikely DPP defections or extraordinary scandals; a Constitutional Court review would follow any passage, further complicating resolution by June 30.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/06/30
はい
新規
新規
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's Legislative Yuan, controlled by KMT and TPP lawmakers holding about 60 seats out of 113, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in late December 2025 over his refusal to promulgate a revised fiscal allocation law shifting revenue from central to local governments, sparking a constitutional standoff. Public hearings commenced in mid-January 2026, with deliberations continuing into late January amid partisan clashes, but President Lai declined to attend, dismissing the effort as symbolic. Trader consensus at 96.4% "No" reflects the opposition's inability to secure the two-thirds supermajority (roughly 76 votes) required to pass impeachment, absent unlikely DPP defections or extraordinary scandals; a Constitutional Court review would follow any passage, further complicating resolution by June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
音量
$9,673終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's Legislative Yuan, controlled by KMT and TPP lawmakers holding about 60 seats out of 113, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in late December 2025 over his refusal to promulgate a revised fiscal allocation law shifting revenue from central to local governments, sparking a constitutional standoff. Public hearings commenced in mid-January 2026, with deliberations continuing into late January amid partisan clashes, but President Lai declined to attend, dismissing the effort as symbolic. Trader consensus at 96.4% "No" reflects the opposition's inability to secure the two-thirds supermajority (roughly 76 votes) required to pass impeachment, absent unlikely DPP defections or extraordinary scandals; a Constitutional Court review would follow any passage, further complicating resolution by June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
音量
$9,673終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's Legislative Yuan, controlled by KMT and TPP lawmakers holding about 60 seats out of 113, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in late December 2025 over his refusal to promulgate a revised fiscal allocation law shifting revenue from central to local governments, sparking a constitutional standoff. Public hearings commenced in mid-January 2026, with deliberations continuing into late January amid partisan clashes, but President Lai declined to attend, dismissing the effort as symbolic. Trader consensus at 96.4% "No" reflects the opposition's inability to secure the two-thirds supermajority (roughly 76 votes) required to pass impeachment, absent unlikely DPP defections or extraordinary scandals; a Constitutional Court review would follow any passage, further complicating resolution by June 30.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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