Market icon

2028年民主党大統領候補

Market icon

2028年民主党大統領候補

ギャビン・ニューサム 24.9%

アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス 8.6%

カマラ・ハリス 5.3%

ジョン・オソフ 4.7%

Polymarket

$776,248,482 Vol.

ギャビン・ニューサム 24.9%

アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス 8.6%

カマラ・ハリス 5.3%

ジョン・オソフ 4.7%

Polymarket

$776,248,482 Vol.

Market icon

ギャビン・ニューサム

$10,436,729 Vol.

25%

Market icon

アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス

$5,340,427 Vol.

9%

Market icon

カマラ・ハリス

$7,408,310 Vol.

5%

Market icon

ジョン・オソフ

$4,981,766 Vol.

5%

Market icon

ジョシュ・シャピロ

$4,989,458 Vol.

4%

Market icon

ピート・ブティジェッジ

$7,328,428 Vol.

3%

Market icon

マーク・ケリー

$8,994,728 Vol.

3%

Market icon

ジェームズ・タラリコ

$2,291,578 Vol.

2%

Market icon

アンディ・ベシア

$4,956,639 Vol.

2%

Market icon

ジョン・スチュワート

$8,080,911 Vol.

2%

Market icon

J.B.プリツカー

$7,250,820 Vol.

2%

Market icon

ルーベン・ガレゴ

$2,973,062 Vol.

2%

Market icon

ラーム・エマニュエル

$9,237,478 Vol.

2%

Market icon

ウェス・ムーア

$8,822,411 Vol.

2%

Market icon

スティーブン・A・スミス

$11,358,016 Vol.

2%

Market icon

グレッチェン・ウィットマー

$6,203,276 Vol.

2%

Market icon

ドウェイン・“ザ・ロック”・ジョンソン

$7,637,865 Vol.

1%

Market icon

コリー・ブッカー

$17,508,069 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ミシェル・オバマ

$17,993,825 Vol.

1%

Market icon

バラク・オバマ

$20,409,097 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ゾラン・マムダニ

$30,674,499 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ジョン・フェッターマン

$14,307,780 Vol.

1%

Market icon

マーク・キューバン

$13,691,507 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ロ・カンナ

$3,340,013 Vol.

1%

Market icon

フィル・マーフィー

$28,357,565 Vol.

1%

Market icon

クリス・マーフィー

$8,760,802 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ジーナ・ライモンド

$23,633,778 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ラファエル・ワーノック

$18,845,962 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ジョージ・クルーニー

$33,195,191 Vol.

1%

Market icon

リズ・チェイニー

$28,127,008 Vol.

1%

Market icon

アンドリュー・ヤン

$33,272,444 Vol.

1%

Market icon

レブロン・ジェームズ

$29,896,617 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ハンター・バイデン

$26,240,061 Vol.

1%

Market icon

チェルシー・クリントン

$41,080,895 Vol.

1%

Market icon

MrBeast

$31,245,712 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ロイ・クーパー

$21,884,750 Vol.

1%

Market icon

バーニー・サンダース

$31,903,308 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ベト・オルーク

$25,159,967 Vol.

1%

Market icon

キム・カーダシアン

$24,718,745 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ジャレッド・ポリス

$15,112,046 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ヒラリー・クリントン

$32,120,859 Vol.

1%

Market icon

オプラ・ウィンフリー

$38,220,848 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ティム・ウォルズ

$32,034,852 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ジャスミン・クロケット

$16,220,381 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$776,248,482
終了日
Nov 7, 2028
マーケット開始日
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年民主党大統領候補" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ギャビン・ニューサム" at 25%, followed by "アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年民主党大統領候補" has generated $776.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年民主党大統領候補," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年民主党大統領候補" is "ギャビン・ニューサム" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年民主党大統領候補" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.