Recent polling ahead of Quebec’s October 5, 2026 provincial election shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in voting intentions, buoyed by strong support among Francophone voters and its sovereignist positioning, which has helped it consolidate ahead of the PLQ and CAQ. The resignation of longtime CAQ premier François Legault in January and the subsequent leadership transition to Christine Fréchette have contributed to a partial recovery for that party, though it remains in third place. The PLQ, now led by Charles Milliard, continues to draw significant backing from non-Francophone voters but has struggled to pull ahead overall. These trends, reflected across multiple surveys from Léger, Synopsis, and Pallas Data, underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ victory while leaving room for shifts as the campaign intensifies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PQ 61%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 16%
PCQ <1%
$577,974 Vol.
$577,974 Vol.

PQ
61%

PLQ
25%

CAQ
16%

PCQ
<1%

PVQ
<1%

QS
<1%
PQ 61%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 16%
PCQ <1%
$577,974 Vol.
$577,974 Vol.

PQ
61%

PLQ
25%

CAQ
16%

PCQ
<1%

PVQ
<1%

QS
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling ahead of Quebec’s October 5, 2026 provincial election shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in voting intentions, buoyed by strong support among Francophone voters and its sovereignist positioning, which has helped it consolidate ahead of the PLQ and CAQ. The resignation of longtime CAQ premier François Legault in January and the subsequent leadership transition to Christine Fréchette have contributed to a partial recovery for that party, though it remains in third place. The PLQ, now led by Charles Milliard, continues to draw significant backing from non-Francophone voters but has struggled to pull ahead overall. These trends, reflected across multiple surveys from Léger, Synopsis, and Pallas Data, underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ victory while leaving room for shifts as the campaign intensifies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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