Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in voting intentions ahead of the 2026 Quebec general election, driven by steady Francophone support that positions it for a potential majority under the first-past-the-post system. Leadership transitions have reshaped the field, with the Coalition Avenir Québec gaining ground after Christine Fréchette’s April selection as leader and premier, while the Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive following Charles Milliard’s earlier acclamation. These shifts have tightened the race into a three-way contest, though the PQ’s consistent edge in surveys sustains trader consensus favoring it as the most likely seat winner. Scheduled voting by October keeps momentum fluid pending further campaign developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PQ 60%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 16%
PCQ <1%
$577,974 Vol.
$577,974 Vol.
2026/10/05
PQ
60%
PLQ
25%
CAQ
16%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 60%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 16%
PCQ <1%
$577,974 Vol.
$577,974 Vol.
2026/10/05
PQ
$59,990 Vol.
60%
PLQ
$62,412 Vol.
25%
CAQ
$71,383 Vol.
16%
PCQ
$174,792 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$133,191 Vol.
<1%
QS
$76,207 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in voting intentions ahead of the 2026 Quebec general election, driven by steady Francophone support that positions it for a potential majority under the first-past-the-post system. Leadership transitions have reshaped the field, with the Coalition Avenir Québec gaining ground after Christine Fréchette’s April selection as leader and premier, while the Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive following Charles Milliard’s earlier acclamation. These shifts have tightened the race into a three-way contest, though the PQ’s consistent edge in surveys sustains trader consensus favoring it as the most likely seat winner. Scheduled voting by October keeps momentum fluid pending further campaign developments.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
音量
$577,974終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in voting intentions ahead of the 2026 Quebec general election, driven by steady Francophone support that positions it for a potential majority under the first-past-the-post system. Leadership transitions have reshaped the field, with the Coalition Avenir Québec gaining ground after Christine Fréchette’s April selection as leader and premier, while the Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive following Charles Milliard’s earlier acclamation. These shifts have tightened the race into a three-way contest, though the PQ’s consistent edge in surveys sustains trader consensus favoring it as the most likely seat winner. Scheduled voting by October keeps momentum fluid pending further campaign developments.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
音量
$577,974終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in voting intentions ahead of the 2026 Quebec general election, driven by steady Francophone support that positions it for a potential majority under the first-past-the-post system. Leadership transitions have reshaped the field, with the Coalition Avenir Québec gaining ground after Christine Fréchette’s April selection as leader and premier, while the Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive following Charles Milliard’s earlier acclamation. These shifts have tightened the race into a three-way contest, though the PQ’s consistent edge in surveys sustains trader consensus favoring it as the most likely seat winner. Scheduled voting by October keeps momentum fluid pending further campaign developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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