Recent polling has positioned the Parti Québécois as the consistent popular-vote leader at roughly 28-32 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party and a recovering Coalition Avenir Québec, translating into seat projections that favor a PQ majority under the first-past-the-post system. The CAQ’s standing has improved modestly since Christine Fréchette became premier following François Legault’s resignation, yet the gains have not overtaken the PQ’s advantage. Liberal support remains competitive in urban and anglophone areas but trails in overall seat math. With the election expected by October, these trends have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PQ 61%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 16%
PCQ <1%
$532,353 Vol.
$532,353 Vol.
2026/10/05
PQ
61%
PLQ
25%
CAQ
16%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 61%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 16%
PCQ <1%
$532,353 Vol.
$532,353 Vol.
2026/10/05
PQ
$55,089 Vol.
61%
PLQ
$57,734 Vol.
25%
CAQ
$63,800 Vol.
16%
PCQ
$165,430 Vol.
<1%
QS
$69,140 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$121,160 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling has positioned the Parti Québécois as the consistent popular-vote leader at roughly 28-32 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party and a recovering Coalition Avenir Québec, translating into seat projections that favor a PQ majority under the first-past-the-post system. The CAQ’s standing has improved modestly since Christine Fréchette became premier following François Legault’s resignation, yet the gains have not overtaken the PQ’s advantage. Liberal support remains competitive in urban and anglophone areas but trails in overall seat math. With the election expected by October, these trends have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
音量
$532,353終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling has positioned the Parti Québécois as the consistent popular-vote leader at roughly 28-32 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party and a recovering Coalition Avenir Québec, translating into seat projections that favor a PQ majority under the first-past-the-post system. The CAQ’s standing has improved modestly since Christine Fréchette became premier following François Legault’s resignation, yet the gains have not overtaken the PQ’s advantage. Liberal support remains competitive in urban and anglophone areas but trails in overall seat math. With the election expected by October, these trends have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
音量
$532,353終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling has positioned the Parti Québécois as the consistent popular-vote leader at roughly 28-32 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party and a recovering Coalition Avenir Québec, translating into seat projections that favor a PQ majority under the first-past-the-post system. The CAQ’s standing has improved modestly since Christine Fréchette became premier following François Legault’s resignation, yet the gains have not overtaken the PQ’s advantage. Liberal support remains competitive in urban and anglophone areas but trails in overall seat math. With the election expected by October, these trends have produced the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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