In the race for the most seats in Latvia's October 3, 2026, Saeima election under proportional representation with a 5% threshold, trader consensus reflects a tight contest among top parties amid fragmented polls and high voter indecision. A March SKDS survey published April 2 showed LPV (Latvia First) leading at 8.9% on populist appeals against government crises, with JV (New Unity) plummeting to 5.9% due to scandals eroding the incumbent coalition's support, while NA (National Alliance) held at 6.4% and SV (Sovereign Power) rose to 6.2%. PolitPro aggregates give NA a slight projected seat edge (24), but 26% undecided and 16% non-voters leave room for volatility; leadership debates, economic data, or further coalition strains could tip the balance toward clearer separation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日JV 23%
LPV 22%
NA 19%
PRO 16.5%
$51,049 Vol.
$51,049 Vol.
2026/10/03
JV
23%
LPV
22%
NA
19%
PRO
9%
AS
11%
SV
7%
S
2%
ZZS
2%
ST！
<1%
JV 23%
LPV 22%
NA 19%
PRO 16.5%
$51,049 Vol.
$51,049 Vol.
2026/10/03
JV
$720 Vol.
23%
LPV
$637 Vol.
22%
NA
$1,280 Vol.
19%
PRO
$0 Vol.
9%
AS
$0 Vol.
11%
SV
$0 Vol.
7%
S
$0 Vol.
2%
ZZS
$47,966 Vol.
2%
ST！
$445 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).In the race for the most seats in Latvia's October 3, 2026, Saeima election under proportional representation with a 5% threshold, trader consensus reflects a tight contest among top parties amid fragmented polls and high voter indecision. A March SKDS survey published April 2 showed LPV (Latvia First) leading at 8.9% on populist appeals against government crises, with JV (New Unity) plummeting to 5.9% due to scandals eroding the incumbent coalition's support, while NA (National Alliance) held at 6.4% and SV (Sovereign Power) rose to 6.2%. PolitPro aggregates give NA a slight projected seat edge (24), but 26% undecided and 16% non-voters leave room for volatility; leadership debates, economic data, or further coalition strains could tip the balance toward clearer separation.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
音量
$51,049終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).In the race for the most seats in Latvia's October 3, 2026, Saeima election under proportional representation with a 5% threshold, trader consensus reflects a tight contest among top parties amid fragmented polls and high voter indecision. A March SKDS survey published April 2 showed LPV (Latvia First) leading at 8.9% on populist appeals against government crises, with JV (New Unity) plummeting to 5.9% due to scandals eroding the incumbent coalition's support, while NA (National Alliance) held at 6.4% and SV (Sovereign Power) rose to 6.2%. PolitPro aggregates give NA a slight projected seat edge (24), but 26% undecided and 16% non-voters leave room for volatility; leadership debates, economic data, or further coalition strains could tip the balance toward clearer separation.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
音量
$51,049終了日
2026/10/03マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the race for the most seats in Latvia's October 3, 2026, Saeima election under proportional representation with a 5% threshold, trader consensus reflects a tight contest among top parties amid fragmented polls and high voter indecision. A March SKDS survey published April 2 showed LPV (Latvia First) leading at 8.9% on populist appeals against government crises, with JV (New Unity) plummeting to 5.9% due to scandals eroding the incumbent coalition's support, while NA (National Alliance) held at 6.4% and SV (Sovereign Power) rose to 6.2%. PolitPro aggregates give NA a slight projected seat edge (24), but 26% undecided and 16% non-voters leave room for volatility; leadership debates, economic data, or further coalition strains could tip the balance toward clearer separation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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