Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 55-60% voter turnout at 74.2% for Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, reflecting a sharp 8.4 percentage point decline from 2021's 68.6% amid widespread voter disillusionment with the political class, economic hardship, and poverty limiting priorities. The expanded electoral roll of 6.5 million registered voters—up from 5.1 million—saw absolute votes rise to 3.9 million, but regional lows like 50% in Islas de la Bahía and minimal abroad participation diluted the percentage, aligning with a 61% historical average. Prolonged vote counting delays due to technical glitches, fraud allegations by Liberal candidate Salvador Nasralla against winner Nasry Asfura, and protests fueled uncertainty, anchoring sentiment below 60% despite final CNE scrutiny in early 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日55〜60% 74.2%
55%未満 17.9%
60〜65% 4.0%
$1,585,405 Vol.
$1,585,405 Vol.
55%未満
18%
55〜60%
74%
60〜65%
4%
55〜60% 74.2%
55%未満 17.9%
60〜65% 4.0%
$1,585,405 Vol.
$1,585,405 Vol.
55%未満
18%
55〜60%
74%
60〜65%
4%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
マーケット開始日: Nov 29, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 55-60% voter turnout at 74.2% for Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, reflecting a sharp 8.4 percentage point decline from 2021's 68.6% amid widespread voter disillusionment with the political class, economic hardship, and poverty limiting priorities. The expanded electoral roll of 6.5 million registered voters—up from 5.1 million—saw absolute votes rise to 3.9 million, but regional lows like 50% in Islas de la Bahía and minimal abroad participation diluted the percentage, aligning with a 61% historical average. Prolonged vote counting delays due to technical glitches, fraud allegations by Liberal candidate Salvador Nasralla against winner Nasry Asfura, and protests fueled uncertainty, anchoring sentiment below 60% despite final CNE scrutiny in early 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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