President Trump's approval rating has stabilized in the low 40s—RCP average at 41.5% approve as of mid-April—following a ceasefire in the U.S.-Iran war on April 7 that halted a sharper decline triggered by escalating gas prices, with 65% of voters blaming the administration per recent Quinnipiac polling. Economic disapproval hit new lows amid inflation and fuel costs, overshadowing earlier 2026 peaks near 44-45% in January polls, while strong Republican support offsets weakness among independents and youth. Traders eye midterm election dynamics, including summer primaries in swing states and potential executive actions on immigration or Supreme Court nominations, as catalysts that could lift ratings through year-end if economic indicators improve or foreign policy stabilizes further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
↑ 44%
15%
↑ 45%
11%
↑ 46%
12%
↑ 47%
5%
↑ 48%
4%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
6%
$3,431 Vol.
↑ 44%
15%
↑ 45%
11%
↑ 46%
12%
↑ 47%
5%
↑ 48%
4%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
6%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval rating has stabilized in the low 40s—RCP average at 41.5% approve as of mid-April—following a ceasefire in the U.S.-Iran war on April 7 that halted a sharper decline triggered by escalating gas prices, with 65% of voters blaming the administration per recent Quinnipiac polling. Economic disapproval hit new lows amid inflation and fuel costs, overshadowing earlier 2026 peaks near 44-45% in January polls, while strong Republican support offsets weakness among independents and youth. Traders eye midterm election dynamics, including summer primaries in swing states and potential executive actions on immigration or Supreme Court nominations, as catalysts that could lift ratings through year-end if economic indicators improve or foreign policy stabilizes further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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