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Zohran Mamdani Margin of Victory (Smaller Brackets)

Market icon

Zohran Mamdani Margin of Victory (Smaller Brackets)

5–10% 100.0%

<5% <1%

10–15% <1%

15–20% <1%

Polymarket

$591,653 Vol.

5–10% 100.0%

<5% <1%

10–15% <1%

15–20% <1%

Polymarket

$591,653 Vol.

<5%

$99,728 Vol.

No

5–10%

$179,941 Vol.

Yes

10–15%

$124,656 Vol.

No

15–20%

$44,509 Vol.

No

20–25%

$55,145 Vol.

No

25%+

$87,674 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City mayoral general election, scheduled for November 4, 2025.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If Zohran Mamdani does not receive the most votes in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Volume
$591,653
End Date
Nov 4, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 31, 2025, 8:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City mayoral general election, scheduled for November 4, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Zohran Mamdani does not receive the most votes in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Zohran Mamdani Margin of Victory (Smaller Brackets)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "5–10%" at 100%, followed by "<5%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Zohran Mamdani Margin of Victory (Smaller Brackets)" has generated $591.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Zohran Mamdani Margin of Victory (Smaller Brackets)," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Zohran Mamdani Margin of Victory (Smaller Brackets)" is "5–10%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<5%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Zohran Mamdani Margin of Victory (Smaller Brackets)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.