5–10% 100.0%
<5% <1%
10–15% <1%
15–20% <1%
$591,653 Vol.
$591,653 Vol.
Nov 4, 2025
<5%
No
5–10%
Yes
10–15%
No
15–20%
No
20–25%
No
25%+
No
5–10% 100.0%
<5% <1%
10–15% <1%
15–20% <1%
$591,653 Vol.
$591,653 Vol.
Nov 4, 2025
<5%
$99,728 Vol.
No
5–10%
$179,941 Vol.
Yes
10–15%
$124,656 Vol.
No
15–20%
$44,509 Vol.
No
20–25%
$55,145 Vol.
No
25%+
$87,674 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City mayoral general election, scheduled for November 4, 2025.
For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If Zohran Mamdani does not receive the most votes in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.
If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.This market will resolve according to the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City mayoral general election, scheduled for November 4, 2025.
For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If Zohran Mamdani does not receive the most votes in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.
If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If Zohran Mamdani does not receive the most votes in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.
If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Market Opened: Oct 31, 2025, 8:01 PM ET
Volume
$591,653End Date
Nov 4, 2025Market Opened
Oct 31, 2025, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No




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