Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% reflecting the absence of any official statements, health issues, or legal pressures from President Trump or the White House signaling resignation intent before 2027, amid his active pursuit of policy priorities like the fiscal year 2027 budget proposing major defense increases and domestic cuts unveiled April 2-4. Recent cabinet shakeups, including ousting Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem in early March and Army Chief of Staff Randy George on April 2, represent routine administration adjustments rather than instability forcing an exit. Partisan speculation, such as Democratic strategist James Carville's repeated predictions of post-midterm resignation tied to potential Democratic congressional gains in November 2026, remains unsubstantiated without primary evidence. Late-breaking scandals, impeachment efforts, or health events could shift odds, but current developments show Trump governing assertively through term end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$15,444 Vol.
$15,444 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$15,444 Vol.
$15,444 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% reflecting the absence of any official statements, health issues, or legal pressures from President Trump or the White House signaling resignation intent before 2027, amid his active pursuit of policy priorities like the fiscal year 2027 budget proposing major defense increases and domestic cuts unveiled April 2-4. Recent cabinet shakeups, including ousting Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem in early March and Army Chief of Staff Randy George on April 2, represent routine administration adjustments rather than instability forcing an exit. Partisan speculation, such as Democratic strategist James Carville's repeated predictions of post-midterm resignation tied to potential Democratic congressional gains in November 2026, remains unsubstantiated without primary evidence. Late-breaking scandals, impeachment efforts, or health events could shift odds, but current developments show Trump governing assertively through term end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volume
$15,444End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% reflecting the absence of any official statements, health issues, or legal pressures from President Trump or the White House signaling resignation intent before 2027, amid his active pursuit of policy priorities like the fiscal year 2027 budget proposing major defense increases and domestic cuts unveiled April 2-4. Recent cabinet shakeups, including ousting Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem in early March and Army Chief of Staff Randy George on April 2, represent routine administration adjustments rather than instability forcing an exit. Partisan speculation, such as Democratic strategist James Carville's repeated predictions of post-midterm resignation tied to potential Democratic congressional gains in November 2026, remains unsubstantiated without primary evidence. Late-breaking scandals, impeachment efforts, or health events could shift odds, but current developments show Trump governing assertively through term end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$15,444End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.5% reflecting the absence of any official statements, health issues, or legal pressures from President Trump or the White House signaling resignation intent before 2027, amid his active pursuit of policy priorities like the fiscal year 2027 budget proposing major defense increases and domestic cuts unveiled April 2-4. Recent cabinet shakeups, including ousting Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem in early March and Army Chief of Staff Randy George on April 2, represent routine administration adjustments rather than instability forcing an exit. Partisan speculation, such as Democratic strategist James Carville's repeated predictions of post-midterm resignation tied to potential Democratic congressional gains in November 2026, remains unsubstantiated without primary evidence. Late-breaking scandals, impeachment efforts, or health events could shift odds, but current developments show Trump governing assertively through term end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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