Traders assign a 97.5% implied probability against Donald Trump resigning before 2027, reflecting the historical rarity of presidential resignations and the absence of recent developments suggesting otherwise. Incumbents typically complete their terms absent extraordinary pressures such as successful impeachment proceedings, severe health events, or sustained institutional challenges. Trump's second term, which began in 2025, shows continuity in policy priorities and public schedule without indicators of early departure. While late-breaking developments could still shift outcomes, realistic scenarios include acute medical issues, major legal or congressional actions resulting in removal, or unforeseen personal circumstances that prompt voluntary exit.