President Donald Trump’s active pursuit of his legislative agenda, including recent tax policy measures, and public signals of commitment to completing his term have sustained trader expectations that he will remain in office through 2026. No verified health issues, legal proceedings, or institutional pressures—such as Senate defections or Cabinet actions—have emerged in recent months to create credible pathways for resignation. Partisan speculation from opponents about post-midterm frustration has not altered market positioning, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents with unified party support rarely exit early absent extraordinary events. The 94.5% implied probability on “No” reflects this absence of near-term catalysts within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$18,300 Vol.
$18,300 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$18,300 Vol.
$18,300 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump’s active pursuit of his legislative agenda, including recent tax policy measures, and public signals of commitment to completing his term have sustained trader expectations that he will remain in office through 2026. No verified health issues, legal proceedings, or institutional pressures—such as Senate defections or Cabinet actions—have emerged in recent months to create credible pathways for resignation. Partisan speculation from opponents about post-midterm frustration has not altered market positioning, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents with unified party support rarely exit early absent extraordinary events. The 94.5% implied probability on “No” reflects this absence of near-term catalysts within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volume
$18,300Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump’s active pursuit of his legislative agenda, including recent tax policy measures, and public signals of commitment to completing his term have sustained trader expectations that he will remain in office through 2026. No verified health issues, legal proceedings, or institutional pressures—such as Senate defections or Cabinet actions—have emerged in recent months to create credible pathways for resignation. Partisan speculation from opponents about post-midterm frustration has not altered market positioning, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents with unified party support rarely exit early absent extraordinary events. The 94.5% implied probability on “No” reflects this absence of near-term catalysts within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$18,300Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s active pursuit of his legislative agenda, including recent tax policy measures, and public signals of commitment to completing his term have sustained trader expectations that he will remain in office through 2026. No verified health issues, legal proceedings, or institutional pressures—such as Senate defections or Cabinet actions—have emerged in recent months to create credible pathways for resignation. Partisan speculation from opponents about post-midterm frustration has not altered market positioning, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents with unified party support rarely exit early absent extraordinary events. The 94.5% implied probability on “No” reflects this absence of near-term catalysts within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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