Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump serving out his full term beyond 2027, with "No" at 94%, reflecting the absence of any official White House announcements, health disclosures, or impeachment proceedings that could prompt resignation. Recent partisan speculation, such as Democratic strategist James Carville's March prediction of a post-midterm exit amid policy setbacks, has been dismissed by the administration and failed to gain traction amid ongoing executive actions and cabinet adjustments unrelated to Trump himself. With 2026 midterm elections approaching in November—potentially testing GOP congressional majorities—no structural pressures like 25th Amendment invocations or special counsel indictments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, though late-breaking scandals or health events could alter this outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$15,444 Vol.
$15,444 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$15,444 Vol.
$15,444 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump serving out his full term beyond 2027, with "No" at 94%, reflecting the absence of any official White House announcements, health disclosures, or impeachment proceedings that could prompt resignation. Recent partisan speculation, such as Democratic strategist James Carville's March prediction of a post-midterm exit amid policy setbacks, has been dismissed by the administration and failed to gain traction amid ongoing executive actions and cabinet adjustments unrelated to Trump himself. With 2026 midterm elections approaching in November—potentially testing GOP congressional majorities—no structural pressures like 25th Amendment invocations or special counsel indictments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, though late-breaking scandals or health events could alter this outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volume
$15,444Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump serving out his full term beyond 2027, with "No" at 94%, reflecting the absence of any official White House announcements, health disclosures, or impeachment proceedings that could prompt resignation. Recent partisan speculation, such as Democratic strategist James Carville's March prediction of a post-midterm exit amid policy setbacks, has been dismissed by the administration and failed to gain traction amid ongoing executive actions and cabinet adjustments unrelated to Trump himself. With 2026 midterm elections approaching in November—potentially testing GOP congressional majorities—no structural pressures like 25th Amendment invocations or special counsel indictments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, though late-breaking scandals or health events could alter this outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$15,444Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump serving out his full term beyond 2027, with "No" at 94%, reflecting the absence of any official White House announcements, health disclosures, or impeachment proceedings that could prompt resignation. Recent partisan speculation, such as Democratic strategist James Carville's March prediction of a post-midterm exit amid policy setbacks, has been dismissed by the administration and failed to gain traction amid ongoing executive actions and cabinet adjustments unrelated to Trump himself. With 2026 midterm elections approaching in November—potentially testing GOP congressional majorities—no structural pressures like 25th Amendment invocations or special counsel indictments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, though late-breaking scandals or health events could alter this outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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